Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f0743b88ef23a678e1d07fd2fb92badcbbb17aeca7110f188533b081afbd6af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,817,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,898,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,817,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 724 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 4c | 162,239$6,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,308.36 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 4c | 116,573$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,103.45 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 1c | 80,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 5c | 61,942$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.02 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 3c | 55,884$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.18 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 10c | 52,459$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.85 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 3c | 43,622$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.85 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 41,457$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.4 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 5c | 33,929$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.01 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 4c | 33,018$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.21 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 3c | 31,950$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.69 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 2c | 27,906$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.31 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 5c | 21,486$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.79 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 2c | 18,130$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.59 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…3dc3backed Yes | 6c | 16,845$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +406.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 9c | 16,832$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.09 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 9c | 16,677$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.61 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 16,638$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 4c | 15,200$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.79 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ee…7030backed Yes | 4c | 14,987$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 4c | 14,402$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.48 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 7c | 14,223$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.24 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 6c | 14,004$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.25 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 13,570$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.3 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 2c | 13,184$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…4a03backed Yes | 5c | 12,222$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…ead3backed Yes | 5c | 11,603$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 2c | 11,387$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.87 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 0c | 11,157$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 8c | 10,455$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.82 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…8d46backed Yes | 3c | 10,120$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.85 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 9,869$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,384$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.89 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 7c | 9,106$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.38 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…bdf8backed Yes | 3c | 8,807$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 8,502$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…30fbbacked Yes | 3c | 8,377$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 4c | 8,376$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.09 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 8,343$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.14 | 191 | 19.9%38 W · 153 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 7c | 8,021$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.69 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 2c | 7,734$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 114 | 6.1%7 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed Yes | 14c | 7,663$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.68 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed Yes | 8c | 7,656$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.33 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes | 7c | 7,275$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.73 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 7,198$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.39 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 7,134$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…cc74backed Yes | 1c | 7,014$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 6,906$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.36 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 6,845$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.93 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 7c | 6,699$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.02 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f3…4edebacked Yes | 3c | 6,534$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 6c | 6,487$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.4 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 4c | 6,274$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.27 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 5,976$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 3c | 5,634$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.65 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,489$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c0…01edbacked Yes | 3c | 5,475$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…dd36backed Yes | 3c | 5,411$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5526…2336backed Yes | 3c | 5,166$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 5,081$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,064$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 6c | 5,061$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.12 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 13c | 5,035$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.85 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…a5edbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 2c | 4,601$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked Yes | 5c | 4,384$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf345…cc9dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,353$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…3783backed Yes | 3c | 4,335$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498a…d5b0backed Yes | 3c | 4,328$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…0629backed Yes | 3c | 4,170$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…333dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,153$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…e1e3backed Yes | 5c | 4,141$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes | 6c | 4,080$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.53 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 14c | 3,902$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.68 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…34b9backed Yes | 5c | 3,873$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…3db9backed Yes | 3c | 3,866$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 3,848$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 1c | 3,729$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed Yes | 4c | 3,655$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2a…1a47backed Yes | 6c | 3,503$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…b9cdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,460$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,260$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,258$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.75 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…d918backed Yes | 3c | 3,238$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 7c | 3,230$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.27 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…32b3backed Yes | 5c | 3,073$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…9ff4backed Yes | 3c | 3,056$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81b…9af5backed Yes | 3c | 3,044$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,969$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.88 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 9c | 2,952$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.14 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…b1e3backed Yes | 4c | 2,928$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba0…89b2backed Yes | 1c | 2,919$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,600$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…92a7backed Yes | 10c | 2,551$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…05ecbacked Yes | 9c | 2,398$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc4…24e8backed Yes | 3c | 2,376$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 5c | 2,288$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?this page
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No won
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No won
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.