Lol · resolved market
LoL: Polar Squad Esports vs Kits Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fdd337a155f0f6175d17ad5279f4e1681c7a8646f55c50acfff774130337aee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kits Esportsof Polar Squad Esports, Kits Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd619…c461backed Polar Squad Esports | 13c | 3,241$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.6 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Polar Squad Esports | 1c | 1,951$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Polar Squad Esports | 12c | 1,801$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.45 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Polar Squad Esports | 4c | 1,785$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Polar Squad Esports | 14c | 1,612$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.37 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Polar Squad Esports | 14c | 1,267$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.32 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Polar Squad Esports | 14c | 1,209$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.15 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Polar Squad Esports | 18c | 1,115$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +98%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Polar Squad Esports | 16c | 1,049$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…b673backed Polar Squad Esports | 12c | 949.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Polar Squad Esports | 11c | 750$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 221 | 46.6%103 W · 118 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Polar Squad Esports | 16c | 694.92$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Polar Squad Esports | 12c | 685.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 115 | 32.2%37 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed Polar Squad Esports | 21c | 641.49$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Polar Squad Esports | 6c | 586.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Polar Squad Esports | 18c | 511.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Kits Esports | 75c | 464.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Polar Squad Esports | 9c | 414.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Polar Squad Esports | 9c | 350.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Polar Squad Esports | 14c | 317.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kits Esports | 78c | 300$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Polar Squad Esports | 23c | 299.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…55f3backed Polar Squad Esports | 9c | 270.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Polar Squad Esports | 11c | 251$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Polar Squad Esports | 18c | 235.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…639ebacked Polar Squad Esports | 13c | 233.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Polar Squad Esports | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Polar Squad Esports | 8c | 173.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Polar Squad Esports | 27c | 159.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Polar Squad Esports | 11c | 146$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Polar Squad Esports | 7c | 141.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Polar Squad Esports | 12c | 133$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Polar Squad Esports | 21c | 130.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Polar Squad Esports | 19c | 114.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4c26backed Polar Squad Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…51a3backed Polar Squad Esports | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Polar Squad Esports | 16c | 98.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Polar Squad Esports | 15c | 97.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kits Esports | 80c | 96.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Polar Squad Esports | 18c | 72.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Kits Esports | 77c | 55.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Kits Esports | 78c | 34.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Kits Esports | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Polar Squad Esports vs Kits Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonthis page
- LoL: Polar Squad Esports vs Kits Esports - Game 1 WinnerKits Esports won
- LoL: Polar Squad Esports vs Kits Esports - Game 2 WinnerKits Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.