TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,618 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes48c14,180$6,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,344.642,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c14,156$5,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,168.844,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xab5b…316cbacked Yes67c10,174$6,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,325.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c6,236$3,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,623.596,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes24c3,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.9834428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No41c2,628$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.911,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f0…d93dbacked No1c2,520$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c2,150$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.081,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes71c1,416$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.324637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No35c1,336$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.192,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed No45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No78c1,097$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8557759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Yes24c986.38$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.651118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-47%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No14c800$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes73c684.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.593339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No80c635.2$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.084360.5%26 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c617.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.491,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No4c551.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0577236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes27c530.15$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.3128824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No34c499.97$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.998919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed No33c491.94$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.882528%7 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed No43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No66c330.21$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.761,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa632…6fc7backed Yes28c312.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad8…ca12backed No72c312.5$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaec1…2778backed No72c312.5$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c7c…3db5backed Yes28c312.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked No4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick3cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes26c264.8$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0610234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked No39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes24c254.96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.775633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No36c250.13$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3212139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes76c239.46$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.491,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes25c209$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8425836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c207.39$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.292,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c195.5$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5896443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2044backed Yes27c185.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.21030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf5…c50fbacked Yes79c171.72$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No74c161.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2133…816ebacked No75c146.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c137.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0984549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x015a…0f35backed Yes24c124.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.87633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked Yes25c121$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.161190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.40per pick51cpaid+81.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c115.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7369651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No74c112.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6125348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes23c102.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1713542.2%57 W · 78 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7845224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4355254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c98.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8957150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Yes58c94.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed No35c91.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.332941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a42…4930backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+38.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes24c81.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0712647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.327948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x289c…79bcbacked No78c79.29$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.65757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No78c79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6241956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed No24c76.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.021546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No53c70.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1649753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Yes67c60.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa283…18dcbacked No32c56.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed No44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512241.8%51 W · 71 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No76c56.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.710451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe520…e4e3backed Yes74c54.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.043262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed No39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013635.3%48 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No51c50.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8840721.9%89 W · 318 L-53.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd5a3…29e5backed Yes72c50.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes30c45.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.341428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87b3…1ae6backed Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed No45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No76c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.435661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51dd…c727backed Yes26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.62740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked No75c38.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.023363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b05…7e6bbacked Yes42c37.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.47162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd671…634cbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+160.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes59c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.946450%32 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed No78c32.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.496847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No36c28.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3151516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb116…ec17backed Yes65c27.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a0…e80bbacked Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed No77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed No41c25.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed No47c24.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.622437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed No54c23.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.964645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed Yes50c23.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c23.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9280853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked No75c21.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.317065.7%46 W · 24 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95cc…3533backed Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…e309backed Yes67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes69c17.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.483641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed No74c17.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.954156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes69c16.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No71c15.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1320758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.