Middle East · resolved market
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f9a885a22e30da427ffc288e7fed0d33fd254cefa9f437e20a91900b5ab224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,013,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,606,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,013,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes | 0c | 133,702$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.84 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…333dbacked Yes | 3c | 93,142$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.31 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…ac3cbacked Yes | 4c | 90,549$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 1c | 85,407$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.61 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 74,528$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.07 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…8260backed Yes | 2c | 66,406$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.51per pick | 6cpaid | +1,408.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 63,320$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.31 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc171…4b4fbacked Yes | 1c | 60,642$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 7cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…1cc7backed Yes | 1c | 51,777$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…2093backed Yes | 0c | 50,100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…0e3cbacked Yes | 4c | 47,117$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.63 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…3c01backed Yes | 1c | 46,845$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.78 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8517…2ce5backed Yes | 2c | 44,797$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +925.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x543e…8253backed Yes | 1c | 42,178$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.2 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 35,609$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.85 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 2c | 32,611$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.39 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 32,249$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.01 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…1506backed Yes | 4c | 32,226$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…9201backed Yes | 2c | 31,517$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.49 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,449$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 2c | 29,201$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.64 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 1c | 26,798$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.08 | 94 | 10.6%10 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 2c | 24,440$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.26 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7e…3f04backed Yes | 2c | 23,954$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 0c | 22,115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…2038backed Yes | 1c | 21,174$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.04 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f5…9663backed Yes | 2c | 20,786$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.15 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…9631backed Yes | 5c | 20,399$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…ee65backed Yes | 1c | 19,990$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 19,178$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 4c | 17,179$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.34 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 3c | 17,000$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.29 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…e049backed Yes | 2c | 15,805$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 1c | 15,592$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0405…ac66backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 86 | 7%6 W · 80 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c5…a375backed Yes | 3c | 14,269$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.91 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…75eebacked Yes | 0c | 13,705$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…7151backed Yes | 4c | 13,016$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.89 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3325…938cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,473$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…a1edbacked Yes | 1c | 11,830$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…437fbacked Yes | 4c | 11,176$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…96cabacked Yes | 3c | 11,000$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 10,395$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.79 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…20b1backed Yes | 1c | 10,172$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 115 | 1.7%2 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…5ff2backed Yes | 2c | 9,859$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812d…c7b2backed Yes | 2c | 9,215$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 9,026$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…edb8backed Yes | 1c | 8,141$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +197.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…f19dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,031$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed Yes | 1c | 7,550$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 2cpaid | +328.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…f4e2backed Yes | 1c | 7,035$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…de01backed Yes | 1c | 6,977$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…7bcabacked Yes | 1c | 6,838$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf241…3203backed Yes | 1c | 6,789$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 6,662$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319d…2538backed Yes | 2c | 6,628$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 6,569$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…e125backed Yes | 4c | 6,563$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3639…d67bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,477$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Yes | 1c | 6,472$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +284.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 6,283$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 1c | 6,231$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 6,206$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…17ddbacked Yes | 2c | 6,198$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…a3cdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,129$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9724…fbc7backed Yes | 2c | 6,127$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 2c | 6,041$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…6b29backed Yes | 1c | 6,018$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…f77dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +284.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…0a4bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes | 1c | 5,872$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 96 | 5.2%5 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 5,870$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,787$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40b…3233backed Yes | 1c | 5,756$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…d571backed Yes | 0c | 5,640$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 1c | 5,600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…4841backed Yes | 2c | 5,599$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…40cfbacked Yes | 3c | 5,555$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…9f81backed Yes | 2c | 5,469$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 1c | 5,418$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…c62fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed Yes | 1c | 5,291$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 2c | 5,267$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…2011backed Yes | 0c | 5,108$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…e491backed Yes | 2c | 5,042$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a0…8b02backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.27 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 4,960$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed Yes | 1c | 4,744$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 1c | 4,633$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 2c | 4,629$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 1c | 4,578$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2234…8d2ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,154$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,060$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…c0bebacked Yes | 3c | 3,940$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +162.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec34…d61ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,918$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,737$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…a11dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,713$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?this page
- Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.