Middle East · resolved market
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05ecb044518b08a7423aa61cc76597029963e7d8e98d3f5b52b731d379951376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,010,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,987,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,010,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18f5…12d0backed Yes | 0c | 308,836$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…4394backed Yes | 0c | 293,060$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…5fecbacked Yes | 0c | 225,130$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.29 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes | 0c | 118,966$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.35 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…6178backed Yes | 2c | 91,616$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0233…5dd0backed Yes | 1c | 57,291$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.61 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0594…e07cbacked Yes | 0c | 51,471$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 12cpaid | +283.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 50,205$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.25 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 1c | 48,871$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.68 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…bcd2backed Yes | 1c | 33,816$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 31,656$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 30,351$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.03 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 2c | 27,000$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 25,433$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.2 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…f77dbacked Yes | 1c | 25,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.18 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 0c | 24,343$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…5136backed Yes | 1c | 20,633$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…5652backed Yes | 2c | 20,210$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.57 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…2ff5backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb4…712ebacked Yes | 1c | 19,777$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7e…063fbacked Yes | 2c | 17,100$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e99…994ebacked Yes | 4c | 16,101$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.89 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…0a4bbacked Yes | 2c | 15,788$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.15 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d9…10e7backed Yes | 6c | 15,588$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +568.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 2c | 15,503$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.88 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 86 | 7%6 W · 80 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…a456backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…94d5backed Yes | 7c | 14,863$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…2038backed Yes | 1c | 14,175$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 13,876$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.41 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 1c | 13,327$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…5086backed Yes | 3c | 12,417$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.99 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,555$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0700…267bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,527$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 23cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33c3…379abacked Yes | 2c | 10,518$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…c62fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,100$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…4a81backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 9,960$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 9,912$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.93 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…46bfbacked Yes | 3c | 9,505$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 9,336$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.59 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 1c | 8,753$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…4099backed Yes | 1c | 8,700$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 2c | 8,000$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.58 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 7,877$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 96 | 4.2%4 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…b78bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,693$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…96fcbacked Yes | 3c | 7,454$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…7151backed Yes | 4c | 6,869$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.37 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…20b1backed Yes | 1c | 6,688$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 115 | 1.7%2 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 1c | 6,569$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 2c | 6,511$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…7bcabacked Yes | 1c | 6,398$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…e1b6backed Yes | 4c | 6,124$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc40b…3233backed Yes | 2c | 6,056$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…59cebacked Yes | 1c | 6,051$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 18cpaid | +279.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…1e0dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,007$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,848$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…705ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,564$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…4841backed Yes | 2c | 5,556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…f4c6backed Yes | 4c | 5,517$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +275.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 1c | 5,456$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 5,258$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.85 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked Yes | 3c | 5,246$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 1c | 5,184$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 5,114$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 4c | 5,003$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…de01backed Yes | 1c | 4,992$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed Yes | 1c | 4,863$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…6b29backed Yes | 3c | 4,800$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…5ff2backed Yes | 5c | 4,681$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,673$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…d0a8backed Yes | 2c | 4,578$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…307fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,341$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…9c4dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,317$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 1c | 4,186$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…a3cdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,096$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…96cabacked Yes | 3c | 3,981$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 3,959$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes | 2c | 3,950$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 96 | 5.2%5 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…ff04backed Yes | 8c | 3,786$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 1c | 3,700$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 94 | 10.6%10 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a6…8651backed Yes | 2c | 3,589$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 3c | 3,556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,506$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…05efbacked Yes | 6c | 3,505$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…1082backed Yes | 2c | 3,500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…c5ffbacked Yes | 4c | 3,500$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d7…01ccbacked Yes | 2c | 3,274$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…aeafbacked Yes | 1c | 3,267$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 3,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…6632backed Yes | 1c | 3,044$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…b95abacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…63a2backed Yes | 3c | 2,978$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb04…ff46backed Yes | 1c | 2,934$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…44c8backed Yes | 4c | 2,860$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,786$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?this page
- Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.