Middle East · resolved market

Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c942cca8f85fe8606ecf5d90d3d4155759f753ffe48f8a45d82ce845d1a225d

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,299,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,401,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,299,930 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7e7a…565dbacked Yes	2c	98,878$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,631.54	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes	1c	77,252$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.22	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+17.8wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e17…7151backed Yes	3c	66,789$1,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,741.26	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes	1c	55,054$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.75	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ab…ba97backed Yes	1c	54,300$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.37	73	30.1%22 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa819…8085backed Yes	2c	51,221$1,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,246.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90c6…19e1backed Yes	3c	50,372$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+3.0wins	+0.50per pick	17cpaid	+208.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	1c	45,265$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.82	171	11.7%20 W · 151 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d0…db7abacked Yes	2c	38,784$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850.95	136	17.6%24 W · 112 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x155b…7aafbacked Yes	1c	36,482$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.44	94	10.6%10 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes	2c	35,266$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.64	76	11.8%9 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	32,418$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.83	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…3684backed Yes	1c	31,057$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.06	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Yes	2c	27,218$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.91	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	+284.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2234…8d2ebacked Yes	3c	26,113$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6286…f59cbacked Yes	2c	24,975$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.6	255	18%46 W · 209 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	2c	24,811$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.62	116	15.5%18 W · 98 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3df…6f87backed Yes	1c	21,952$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.03	73	11%8 W · 65 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7598…4221backed Yes	3c	21,643$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec8f…94d5backed Yes	4c	20,030$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes	3c	17,842$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.69	60	45%27 W · 33 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe7…67eebacked Yes	1c	16,983$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.78	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc40b…3233backed Yes	1c	16,059$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0233…5dd0backed Yes	2c	16,044$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.03	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…1cc7backed Yes	1c	15,405$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes	1c	15,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.27	86	7%6 W · 80 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes	1c	14,980$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.74	112	8.9%10 W · 102 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	+149.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x543e…8253backed Yes	1c	13,858$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.92	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-85%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes	0c	13,189$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.13	94	14.9%14 W · 80 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+86.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	1c	12,631$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.4	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b34…66adbacked Yes	5c	12,589$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75d…a3cdbacked Yes	1c	12,457$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.29	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	6cpaid	+163.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…2038backed Yes	1c	12,380$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.28	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+200.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…96cabacked Yes	3c	12,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…02cbbacked Yes	2c	11,252$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.74	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+189.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8102…d50abacked Yes	1c	11,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1934…0a4bbacked Yes	1c	10,886$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.3	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d5…1b17backed Yes	1c	10,744$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.52	38	7.9%3 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2296…a048backed Yes	3c	10,681$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x270d…5ff2backed Yes	2c	10,554$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.44	67	22.4%15 W · 52 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed Yes	1c	10,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	157	43.9%69 W · 88 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e99…994ebacked Yes	3c	9,891$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	1c	9,490$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.94	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89fa…5496backed Yes	2c	9,386$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.75	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	4cpaid	+203.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6539…ad73backed Yes	2c	9,123$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+4.7wins	+0.59per pick	16cpaid	+490.9%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xed44…1082backed Yes	2c	8,994$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.09	61	1.6%1 W · 60 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x798c…7bcabacked Yes	1c	8,560$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.92	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	5cpaid	+266.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2b…3e70backed Yes	3c	8,362$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.73	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	2c	8,166$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.03	199	5%10 W · 189 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f67…de01backed Yes	1c	8,079$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.51	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f5…9663backed Yes	2c	8,029$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.36	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	7,576$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.94	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90d1…f62abacked Yes	2c	7,378$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.96	72	0%0 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a49…efbabacked Yes	1c	7,096$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0527…20b1backed Yes	1c	7,060$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.35	115	1.7%2 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9121…d73fbacked Yes	3c	6,638$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.93	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…49eebacked Yes	2c	6,592$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3f…d953backed Yes	3c	6,342$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d9…10e7backed Yes	2c	6,189$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+568.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcb0…f77dbacked Yes	1c	6,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05a9…1e0dbacked Yes	2c	5,966$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	+321.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80c5…333dbacked Yes	2c	5,781$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+5.7wins	+0.20per pick	35cpaid	+113.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xea7b…9c4dbacked Yes	1c	5,718$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7e…063fbacked Yes	2c	5,709$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6810…38a3backed Yes	1c	5,589$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.13	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x450a…25abbacked Yes	1c	5,581$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.89	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes	1c	5,377$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.33	96	5.2%5 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc77…ea7cbacked Yes	2c	5,105$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes	1c	5,100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.67	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	2c	5,098$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.8	371	7%26 W · 345 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	1c	5,087$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.95	247	6.9%17 W · 230 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a0…8b02backed Yes	3c	5,020$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.6	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes	1c	5,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	382	47.6%182 W · 200 L	+37.1wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd08…4a59backed Yes	2c	5,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff4…8b0ebacked Yes	0c	5,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dca…a372backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba32…deaabacked Yes	2c	5,000$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.85	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes	1c	4,960$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.76	362	27.9%101 W · 261 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6826…f19dbacked Yes	2c	4,891$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	10cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d9a…4841backed Yes	3c	4,868$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.98	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83e0…53e6backed Yes	1c	4,535$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.35	82	30.5%25 W · 57 L	+6.2wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	1c	4,526$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.75	419	5.3%22 W · 397 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e34…c876backed Yes	2c	4,385$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.11	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes	2c	4,289$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.92	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+9.6wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x319d…2538backed Yes	2c	4,284$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdb…193dbacked Yes	2c	4,216$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3b…3149backed Yes	1c	4,159$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	7cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x388b…1343backed Yes	2c	4,155$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.25per pick	17cpaid	+215.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes	2c	4,127$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	219	26.5%58 W · 161 L	+12.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+76.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccaa…705ebacked Yes	2c	4,121$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5935…2e9fbacked Yes	2c	3,935$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.7	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd049…5de7backed Yes	2c	3,902$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.12	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+101.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0262…a9d2backed Yes	2c	3,811$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.41	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-36%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes	2c	3,746$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	125	44%55 W · 70 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	1c	3,706$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.38	144	2.8%4 W · 140 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc607…6b29backed Yes	2c	3,700$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.3	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	1c	3,671$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.06	147	7.5%11 W · 136 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd7…ef87backed Yes	0c	3,648$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes	1c	3,607$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	7	0%0 W · 7 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc2e…5da0backed Yes	3c	3,466$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event