Middle East · resolved market
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x462d0b4bc0be99b5ab5003f858e267d6e466198648716b7533e128cf90082788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,565,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,564,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,565,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a8e…1cc7backed Yes | 2c | 188,705$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes | 1c | 184,216$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.35 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…ac3cbacked Yes | 3c | 89,766$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 86,422$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.85 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed Yes | 3c | 60,072$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.16 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…7151backed Yes | 3c | 56,764$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…4141backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 46,789$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.63 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…5ff2backed Yes | 3c | 43,021$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.8 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…3c01backed Yes | 1c | 41,788$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.03 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 1c | 38,766$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.55 | 94 | 10.6%10 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…4d1cbacked Yes | 4c | 35,218$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 2c | 34,073$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.58 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2234…8d2ebacked Yes | 2c | 32,978$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.79 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 2c | 31,613$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.85 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd2…495dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,518$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 29,826$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.35 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 28,618$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.04 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 1c | 27,807$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.67 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f5…9663backed Yes | 1c | 27,804$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.64 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…2038backed Yes | 1c | 27,405$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.52 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 1c | 23,647$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…15f9backed Yes | 4c | 22,325$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…7bcabacked Yes | 2c | 19,893$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.14 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 2c | 19,523$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.51 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 2c | 19,043$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.57 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 17,051$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 3c | 17,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 4c | 16,002$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.22 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…4ff6backed Yes | 0c | 15,209$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 21cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 1c | 15,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes | 1c | 14,999$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 86 | 7%6 W · 80 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…a1edbacked Yes | 4c | 13,755$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7e…063fbacked Yes | 1c | 13,477$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.27 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed Yes | 1c | 10,829$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 2cpaid | +328.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…20b1backed Yes | 1c | 10,645$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 115 | 1.7%2 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40b…3233backed Yes | 1c | 10,556$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…333dbacked Yes | 2c | 10,002$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…96cabacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…edb8backed Yes | 1c | 9,954$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +197.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 9,462$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 1c | 9,247$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9db…d937backed Yes | 1c | 8,850$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8517…2ce5backed Yes | 2c | 8,657$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +925.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e99…994ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,166$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.77 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed Yes | 1c | 7,131$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…135abacked Yes | 0c | 7,109$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…f4e2backed Yes | 1c | 7,077$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…de01backed Yes | 1c | 7,070$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…f19dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,479$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…307fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,405$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 6,217$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…1598backed Yes | 2c | 6,119$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 6,118$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 2c | 6,070$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed Yes | 1c | 6,056$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…a456backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…f77dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…0a4bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…eb32backed Yes | 2c | 5,735$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 5,515$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…9c4dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,230$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 5,178$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes | 1c | 5,157$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 96 | 5.2%5 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a0…8b02backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…a3cdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,838$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 4,761$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…cb54backed Yes | 2c | 4,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed Yes | 1c | 4,494$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 117 | 30.8%36 W · 81 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3132…cae8backed Yes | 1c | 4,368$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…cdc7backed Yes | 1c | 4,321$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…4841backed Yes | 3c | 4,275$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319d…2538backed Yes | 2c | 4,148$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…1e0dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,095$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,767$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…6b29backed Yes | 1c | 3,700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe158…9899backed Yes | 3c | 3,571$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 1c | 3,350$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…c62fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b6b0backed Yes | 3c | 3,245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443e…8055backed Yes | 1c | 3,198$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c5…a375backed Yes | 3c | 3,061$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0cc1backed Yes | 1c | 2,869$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6df…c2a2backed Yes | 3c | 2,773$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 1c | 2,685$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…2ff5backed Yes | 3c | 2,522$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 1c | 2,511$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 3c | 2,502$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 1c | 2,465$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 72 | 0%0 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,429$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,361$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…3149backed Yes | 1c | 2,204$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189a…ee8ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,171$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 2,130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 170 | 3.5%6 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…17ddbacked Yes | 1c | 2,094$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 4c | 2,082$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?this page
- Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.