Middle East · resolved market
Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedb53f2f0fc426eae1d3a27dbb05718f03de2ec88078d6d49067a928a5033c64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,824,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,084,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,824,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14f6…15c4backed Yes | 0c | 495,437$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a8…aba9backed Yes | 0c | 386,348$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…fad1backed Yes | 0c | 297,269$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52a…a4f0backed Yes | 0c | 297,269$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…565dbacked Yes | 2c | 114,394$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.15 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 1c | 68,749$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2234…8d2ebacked Yes | 1c | 61,283$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.67 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes | 1c | 55,794$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.76 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 1c | 30,739$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.37 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0594…e07cbacked Yes | 0c | 29,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 12cpaid | +283.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f5…9663backed Yes | 1c | 25,525$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.49 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 24,560$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 18,882$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 86 | 7%6 W · 80 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 1c | 12,923$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 0c | 12,356$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…387ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 11,985$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 0c | 11,853$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 11,785$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 1c | 11,705$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…b6acbacked Yes | 2c | 11,195$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,533$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…96cabacked Yes | 1c | 10,335$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…793dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,416$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.52 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…705ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 1c | 8,204$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…6c15backed Yes | 3c | 7,286$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…7849backed Yes | 1c | 7,075$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…0a4bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,060$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…a3cdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,804$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,439$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 5,322$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 1c | 5,316$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…edb8backed Yes | 2c | 5,017$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +197.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…20b1backed Yes | 1c | 4,745$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 115 | 1.7%2 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 4,636$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,082$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 4,054$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 3,913$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,881$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…3b3bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,605$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 2c | 3,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked Yes | 2c | 3,262$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…efbabacked Yes | 2c | 3,208$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…f440backed Yes | 1c | 3,200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 1c | 2,986$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…d382backed Yes | 1c | 2,866$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 1c | 2,745$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 72 | 0%0 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Yes | 1c | 2,654$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 1c | 2,589$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…ce3fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,556$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe67…3932backed Yes | 1c | 2,543$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…420fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,047$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes | 1c | 2,008$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 96 | 5.2%5 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…62ccbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 1c | 1,965$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…f19dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,882$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed Yes | 2c | 1,823$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 117 | 30.8%36 W · 81 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c4…ae60backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…60ddbacked Yes | 1c | 1,817$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…3149backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…974dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,798$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f2…8da9backed Yes | 2c | 1,788$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 2c | 1,672$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…1082backed Yes | 1c | 1,662$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,645$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 2c | 1,606$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,594$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…6632backed Yes | 1c | 1,552$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8611…d28fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,507$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…307fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,471$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,432$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…d8cdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,412$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 1,378$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes | 1c | 1,371$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,360$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 170 | 3.5%6 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…cdc7backed Yes | 2c | 1,350$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 1c | 1,332$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0233…5dd0backed Yes | 3c | 1,304$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b96…0df2backed Yes | 1c | 1,292$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1178…772fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,227$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 1c | 1,202$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 72 | 6.9%5 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…17ddbacked Yes | 1c | 1,171$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,149$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…3469backed Yes | 1c | 1,134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d5…6418backed Yes | 1c | 1,093$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…4073backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 1c | 999.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3bdbbacked Yes | 2c | 994.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +181%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…6c59backed Yes | 2c | 963.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?this page
- Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.