Middle East · resolved market
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f48b7a8bca71c288587bc51c7ee67479422e90bdcbe868790215cec7887c468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,837,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,828,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,837,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 559 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75fe…173abacked No | 0c | 184,098$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…2093backed No | 0c | 151,263$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.68 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…42d1backed No | 1c | 140,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 0c | 138,741$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.64 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e5…f6fcbacked No | 0c | 127,664$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…ac3cbacked Yes | 5c | 113,636$5,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,998.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…43c1backed No | 53c | 96,158$51,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,197.07 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…4e28backed Yes | 5c | 79,492$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,806.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.30per pick | 23cpaid | +184.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 43c | 65,064$27,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,222.3 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…34d2backed No | 0c | 57,986$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed No | 0c | 55,792$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 1c | 48,510$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.69 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 14c | 47,476$6,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,816.68 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac87…ae28backed Yes | 31c | 42,592$13,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,269.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…7151backed Yes | 4c | 41,796$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,265.77 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 37c | 40,268$14,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,499.94 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 4c | 39,350$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,865.16 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 5c | 36,411$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,589.01 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 36,300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863d…ded2backed Yes | 5c | 34,558$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,774.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.42per pick | 21cpaid | +411.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17c0…8ee9backed Yes | 6c | 33,673$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,767.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…0e3cbacked Yes | 5c | 32,763$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,025.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 0c | 31,910$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 10c | 31,412$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,212.65 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d81…5c1ebacked Yes | 18c | 27,632$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,709.11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c99…a6a0backed No | 1c | 26,803$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…d531backed Yes | 10c | 26,673$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,905.67 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 30c | 25,937$7,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,170.28 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 25,748$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,949.17 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 2c | 23,904$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,423.84 | 94 | 10.6%10 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…e177backed No | 1c | 23,059$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e99…994ebacked Yes | 4c | 22,588$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,613.51 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…333dbacked Yes | 6c | 21,615$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,346.57 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…ab48backed No | 5c | 20,797$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.68 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 6c | 19,752$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,554.75 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8989…6e14backed No | 0c | 18,500$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed Yes | 5c | 18,453$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,551.49 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…f0cfbacked No | 1c | 18,117$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…1905backed Yes | 6c | 18,048$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,048.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…9201backed Yes | 5c | 17,061$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,237.47 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…53e6backed Yes | 1c | 16,953$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,748.14 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…71b3backed Yes | 3c | 16,425$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,921.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…087cbacked No | 0c | 15,198$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8517…2ce5backed Yes | 4c | 14,648$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,093.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +925.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4576…3370backed No | 0c | 14,504$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…a3cdbacked Yes | 1c | 14,317$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,109.36 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…5ff2backed Yes | 6c | 14,201$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,360.86 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 13,120$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,861.57 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…0a4bbacked Yes | 2c | 13,000$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,781.97 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked No | 1c | 12,994$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 76c | 12,739$9,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.28 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 12,668$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,003.53 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 3c | 12,400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,087.71 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…a0d6backed No | 1c | 12,314$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed No | 0c | 12,260$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…7032backed No | 1c | 12,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +359.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…7c6abacked No | 1c | 11,946$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…8e04backed No | 1c | 11,930$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 11,382$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,016.13 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…6658backed No | 1c | 11,000$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb386…74cdbacked Yes | 3c | 10,962$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,663.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +193.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 0c | 10,939$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -81%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…2038backed Yes | 1c | 10,591$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,455.92 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Yes | 2c | 10,386$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,208.68 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +284.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…c1c5backed Yes | 6c | 10,307$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,706.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +737.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 10,220$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,902.53 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…6261backed Yes | 13c | 10,097$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,806.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…1a7dbacked No | 2c | 10,029$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…9394backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,515.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 18cpaid | +290.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…2b4cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 4c | 9,897$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,501.33 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed No | 1c | 9,829$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…fad1backed Yes | 31c | 9,751$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,763.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 0c | 9,565$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…7bcabacked Yes | 2c | 9,247$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,105.16 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…7e40backed Yes | 4c | 9,157$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,771.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +1,086.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed No | 0c | 9,010$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 6c | 8,998$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,498.14 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…8dc2backed Yes | 10c | 8,865$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,964.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…efd2backed Yes | 8c | 8,800$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,090.26 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…36abbacked No | 0c | 8,580$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 3c | 8,500$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,230.47 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 12c | 8,305$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,271.84 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…0193backed Yes | 14c | 8,289$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,126.56 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 27cpaid | +106%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…d9bdbacked Yes | 24c | 8,274$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,273.67 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed Yes | 11c | 8,182$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,263.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +447.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…e68cbacked Yes | 16c | 7,749$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,524.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 31c | 7,500$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,137.92 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x959c…8738backed No | 1c | 7,143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…e0ffbacked Yes | 2c | 7,104$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,954.17 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…bd84backed Yes | 8c | 7,094$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,524.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +358.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 2c | 7,092$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,931.06 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x901a…dc86backed No | 1c | 7,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 4c | 6,886$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,582.71 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…0007backed Yes | 39c | 6,834$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.12 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 2c | 6,772$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,632.43 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 6,738$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,386.78 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7f…a34cbacked No | 0c | 6,640$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…7ae7backed Yes | 6c | 6,545$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,145.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…0796backed Yes | 3c | 6,496$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.18 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?this page
- Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.