Middle East · resolved market
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1685c8da893250409e66eb37e0a6f4582e5ece40e7aee1fd7e5e55091439c010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,154,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $978,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,154,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 1c | 336,240$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.81 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 1c | 61,323$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.67 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…53e6backed Yes | 1c | 28,944$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.37 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f5…9663backed Yes | 2c | 24,317$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.38 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 1c | 24,204$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.31 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…52f1backed Yes | 1c | 19,589$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 19,033$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…7849backed Yes | 1c | 18,275$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 17,709$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes | 1c | 14,910$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 86 | 7%6 W · 80 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes | 1c | 14,691$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 12,958$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…f77dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,808$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…a3cdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,489$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…1442backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…96cabacked Yes | 1c | 9,525$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 8,364$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 1c | 7,842$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 1c | 7,519$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…1cf9backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,991$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…8b4fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,736$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…2038backed Yes | 1c | 4,487$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed Yes | 1c | 4,469$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 117 | 30.8%36 W · 81 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 4,383$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,290$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 1c | 4,123$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 4,098$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe67…3932backed Yes | 1c | 3,775$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 1c | 3,739$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb04…ff46backed Yes | 1c | 3,636$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 96 | 5.2%5 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…f204backed Yes | 1c | 3,472$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,375$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…20b1backed Yes | 1c | 3,144$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 115 | 1.7%2 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked Yes | 2c | 3,142$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…0a4bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…c6b4backed Yes | 3c | 2,985$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…6c59backed Yes | 1c | 2,642$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…7737backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2234…8d2ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,340$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…6632backed Yes | 1c | 2,333$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 1c | 2,291$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 72 | 0%0 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…b571backed Yes | 1c | 2,250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,240$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…17ddbacked Yes | 1c | 2,143$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…3b3bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 1c | 2,047$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…974dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,014$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…62ccbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…307fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,974$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…6e97backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…d382backed Yes | 2c | 1,752$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cd…47e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,735$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…c98bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,703$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…4fa3backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 1c | 1,505$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cc…331abacked Yes | 1c | 1,391$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,384$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…ce3fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,290$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…e30fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 1,249$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0cc1backed Yes | 1c | 1,171$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…1a6bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…de01backed Yes | 1c | 1,091$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1178…772fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,084$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 1c | 1,048$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 1c | 1,018$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…f19dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,018$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 1c | 999.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 72 | 6.9%5 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…599ebacked Yes | 1c | 994.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Yes | 1c | 971.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 2c | 966.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…9fd6backed Yes | 2c | 906.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…43f7backed Yes | 1c | 869.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…4ce9backed Yes | 2c | 651.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…b445backed Yes | 2c | 629.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Yes | 2c | 615.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…f6d5backed Yes | 2c | 603.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?this page
- Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.