Middle East · resolved market
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c82867c36c90a807b56e403e4347895cd85d18cc0799a9f8d07b443ebfa210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,264,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,390,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,264,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe361…96cabacked Yes | 0c | 81,366$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 1c | 66,874$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.9 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 1c | 61,163$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.42 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 1c | 57,500$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0233…5dd0backed Yes | 1c | 54,021$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.65 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes | 1c | 49,351$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.25 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa819…8085backed Yes | 3c | 48,776$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 47,454$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.08 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 42,442$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 40,355$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.24 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 37,461$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.32 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 2c | 31,056$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.39 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…a048backed Yes | 2c | 30,951$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 3c | 29,348$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.17 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…19e1backed Yes | 2c | 28,060$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 26,976$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.08 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…94d5backed Yes | 4c | 24,294$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2b…3e70backed Yes | 3c | 22,596$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…3684backed Yes | 1c | 22,417$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…5ff2backed Yes | 3c | 22,326$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…c6e3backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 2c | 19,966$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.23 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 2c | 17,516$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.23 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…5136backed Yes | 1c | 17,143$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…509cbacked Yes | 2c | 16,698$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.63 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 1c | 16,362$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7e…b52dbacked Yes | 1c | 16,153$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…c62fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,555$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 86 | 7%6 W · 80 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 0c | 13,400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…02cbbacked Yes | 2c | 12,352$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…5652backed Yes | 2c | 12,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…d953backed Yes | 2c | 11,886$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked Yes | 2c | 11,877$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.1 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 2c | 11,703$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…67eebacked Yes | 2c | 11,583$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.73 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 2c | 11,233$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.13 | 94 | 10.6%10 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 0c | 11,227$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…2ff5backed Yes | 2c | 11,222$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…2038backed Yes | 1c | 10,989$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 10,340$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.04 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 1c | 10,034$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e34…c876backed Yes | 2c | 10,017$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a372backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…d9bdbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 9,042$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 1c | 9,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…7bcabacked Yes | 1c | 8,391$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…de01backed Yes | 1c | 8,376$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…20b1backed Yes | 1c | 8,163$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 115 | 1.7%2 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,935$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…a11dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,708$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c22…e4dbbacked Yes | 1c | 7,433$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…1082backed Yes | 1c | 7,428$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…9c4dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,294$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9877…b493backed Yes | 3c | 6,605$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 6,358$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…efd8backed Yes | 1c | 6,189$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…1e0dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,093$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…5086backed Yes | 2c | 6,012$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40b…3233backed Yes | 2c | 5,917$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…53e6backed Yes | 2c | 5,500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…d209backed Yes | 2c | 5,352$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 1c | 5,260$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6df…c2a2backed Yes | 2c | 5,167$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…d73fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,141$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…a3cdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,035$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdb…193dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,032$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 5,023$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…4841backed Yes | 3c | 5,010$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…0a4bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 4,968$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 4,960$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 2c | 4,905$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55a0…8b02backed Yes | 2c | 4,828$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked Yes | 1c | 4,501$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes | 1c | 4,493$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 96 | 5.2%5 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 2c | 4,473$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…05efbacked Yes | 4c | 4,395$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Yes | 2c | 4,361$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe537…1eebbacked Yes | 2c | 4,233$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…3149backed Yes | 1c | 4,138$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…705ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,098$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…b95abacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,925$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 1c | 3,848$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…d0a8backed Yes | 1c | 3,819$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…6b29backed Yes | 1c | 3,700$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…e256backed Yes | 0c | 3,699$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…302bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed Yes | 1c | 3,485$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0cc1backed Yes | 1c | 3,478$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…6178backed Yes | 2c | 3,417$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 3,405$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,388$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,135$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,006$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1865…9c7abacked Yes | 2c | 3,003$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +250.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?this page
- Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.