TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes35c13,063$4,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,510.61850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No40c11,375$4,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,866.82,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No55c9,336$5,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,181.71560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No29c9,011$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,437.1316953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c8,014$5,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,975.437,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes47c6,556$3,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,077.691428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No41c3,567$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.4818743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No56c3,069$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.641190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+72.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes80c3,005$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3892,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes75c2,766$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.6392043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes41c2,683$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.931936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes1c2,550$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.426634.8%23 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed Yes60c2,512$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20026949.8%134 W · 135 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No20c2,247$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.818343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.994151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No21c1,905$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.7218344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes49c1,501$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.416829.4%20 W · 48 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes63c1,501$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.4694043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked No27c1,214$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+79%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No71c1,078$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1114262.7%89 W · 53 L+15.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4707045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No40c900.47$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.232147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c886.24$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.555,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes47c823.3$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.9512337.4%46 W · 77 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa2…3620backed Yes64c777.24$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No71c768.52$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.876937.7%26 W · 43 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes22c695.55$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8313860.1%83 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes29c694.83$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes46c687.85$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.411764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes75c672.74$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.1985250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No73c668.6$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0811452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes75c666.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes74c645.54$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.1223546.8%110 W · 125 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x970e…613ebacked Yes3c587.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No70c573.04$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.989353.8%50 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes17c537.63$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.897047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes74c511.88$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.793036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010248%49 W · 53 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes40c499.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No23c499.7$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.121,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No65c498.51$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0191148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes75c486.55$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.572,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No25c480$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.931,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No26c479.94$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.11,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes74c399.15$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.151,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No50c397.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.397162%44 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Yes44c348.4$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534768.1%32 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes80c346.25$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27726549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No55c331.58$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.911,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed No24c321$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.441464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+70.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14110920.2%22 W · 87 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No44c294.82$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4689258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb2…2bb3backed Yes56c290.93$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4497…d5a3backed Yes31c290.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Yes41c283.11$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes75c280.8$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.677350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Yes52c275.02$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.011546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes29c265.1$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.887251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes38c265$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.78831.8%28 W · 60 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes22c264.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.147459.5%44 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No26c258$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.927258.3%42 W · 30 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes75c241.04$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5130646.7%143 W · 163 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1118…028cbacked Yes35c230$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes33c213.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7035740.6%145 W · 212 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked No47c212.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.034454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f1…09d2backed Yes33c207.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7978…dad7backed Yes33c206.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903171%22 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes54c198.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.491070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Yes43c189.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.23033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No59c189.57$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.58230.5%25 W · 57 L-11.3wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes27c189.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.412123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes47c179.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2533853.3%180 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No55c157.42$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1338359.3%227 W · 156 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes55c154.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1817149.7%85 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6925…d76dbacked Yes41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes75c145$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.755453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes36c137.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Yes79c135.44$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1074546.7%21 W · 24 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-29%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes44c132.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1123743.9%104 W · 133 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes68c124.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.868148.1%39 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes29c122.81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.077922.8%18 W · 61 L-14.9wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-65.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes80c120$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9628446.1%131 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2533…5c8cbacked Yes45c119.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Yes46c119.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553250%16 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Yes77c110.29$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.924261.9%26 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b37…039dbacked Yes59c109.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.262560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Yes24c104.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.972850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No58c104.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.953652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes46c102.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0348…3d81backed Yes17c101.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.031822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Yes36c100.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8512047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.