Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10ee7cd162b185950523c1d72642204fffe49c1a342bc60f49cf0797ca1fd6ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 3,075$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.19 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes | 14c | 1,473$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfa…1d81backed Yes | 17c | 1,363$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed No | 67c | 1,133$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 854.36$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 42c | 714.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 75c | 600.55$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.04 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 73c | 547.46$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 35c | 537.63$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 482.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 458.36$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 32c | 324.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 278$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 43c | 230.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 200.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 32c | 182.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 13c | 177.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 34c | 169.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 14c | 164.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 68c | 139.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 24c | 139.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 78c | 131.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Yes | 20c | 122.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 14c | 102.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 38c | 92.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 23c | 86.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 35c | 85.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 64c | 57.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 27c | 47.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 35c | 46.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 44.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 30c | 36.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 35c | 33.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 29.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 65c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked No | 66c | 21.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 67c | 17.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 66c | 17.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f9…b54ebacked No | 71c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto end in a draw?this page
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.