TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

National Bank Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Ana Grubor

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maya Jointof Maya Joint, Ana Grubor
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$853,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$992,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $853,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Maya Joint62c312,850$195,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,466.234854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ana Grubor41c189,513$77,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,907.588,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Ana Grubor50c118,387$59,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,501.071,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Ana Grubor36c80,228$29,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,00074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ana Grubor43c11,128$4,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,825.534,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b4f…0591backed Ana Grubor10c9,740$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ana Grubor43c8,865$3,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,827.828,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Maya Joint63c8,297$5,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,094.616,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maya Joint51c7,064$3,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.286,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Ana Grubor40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9527252.9%144 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Ana Grubor20c4,918$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.962,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ana Grubor20c4,277$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.454,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5c9…0581backed Ana Grubor3c4,180$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.64922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Maya Joint61c4,074$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.163,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ana Grubor40c3,536$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.583,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Maya Joint56c3,477$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.434,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6512…e713backed Ana Grubor6c2,912$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.31241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Maya Joint42c2,826$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.2153644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa65…b0bbbacked Maya Joint38c2,632$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.537739%30 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Ana Grubor23c2,588$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.710531.4%33 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Ana Grubor13c2,553$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.1646030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Ana Grubor31c2,545$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.51,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Maya Joint71c2,531$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.6638557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Ana Grubor10c2,202$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.191,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Ana Grubor4c2,129$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010931.2%34 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd9…90b2backed Ana Grubor4c2,129$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909532.6%31 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maya Joint63c2,081$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.737,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Maya Joint57c2,031$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.4139759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Ana Grubor35c2,007$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.2960053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Maya Joint61c1,971$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.7510954.1%59 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e1…124abacked Ana Grubor7c1,929$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Ana Grubor38c1,859$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70025240.5%102 W · 150 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Ana Grubor28c1,758$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Maya Joint69c1,548$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.141,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Maya Joint37c1,487$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.341,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Ana Grubor8c1,372$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7215733.1%52 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Maya Joint35c1,233$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.1214947%70 W · 79 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Maya Joint60c1,199$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.741,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Ana Grubor10c1,175$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.41,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Maya Joint74c1,173$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.21,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Ana Grubor23c1,104$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Maya Joint63c1,063$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.1710349.5%51 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Maya Joint63c1,051$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.0211048.2%53 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Maya Joint36c1,048$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.2838459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Maya Joint72c1,009$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8415541.9%65 W · 90 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Maya Joint38c1,005$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.8714357.3%82 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Ana Grubor19c999.98$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19170652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Maya Joint49c979.39$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.0470254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Maya Joint67c930$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.621,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…2482backed Ana Grubor7c925.24$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.269433%31 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maya Joint71c904.31$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.579,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc024…cc2ebacked Maya Joint65c885.51$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.518165.4%53 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Maya Joint63c845.12$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.2319540%78 W · 117 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Maya Joint61c805.3$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.8521056.2%118 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ana Grubor25c801.42$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.166,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Maya Joint33c759.88$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.881,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Ana Grubor43c758.41$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.0736557.3%209 W · 156 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Maya Joint78c722.28$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.344070%28 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Ana Grubor23c683.09$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030235.4%107 W · 195 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f8…ce81backed Ana Grubor77c606$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Ana Grubor18c603.74$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7239159.1%231 W · 160 L+28.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Maya Joint50c601.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.211646.6%54 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Ana Grubor32c600$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1918027.5%22 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…d485backed Ana Grubor52c600$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.68343.4%36 W · 47 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Ana Grubor9c589.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6168430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe22…b709backed Maya Joint60c584.06$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0612656.3%71 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Maya Joint15c570.96$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.615532.9%51 W · 104 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Ana Grubor27c547.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9948941.1%201 W · 288 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Ana Grubor54c546$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5317136.3%62 W · 109 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Ana Grubor13c533.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4927724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dd5abacked Maya Joint76c529.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4317554.3%95 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd68…0f6bbacked Maya Joint76c527.8$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec5…465abacked Maya Joint68c508.71$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.712759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Maya Joint60c507.56$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9476355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Ana Grubor54c505$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.7914936.9%55 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Maya Joint50c498.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9618636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Maya Joint61c488.49$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2679855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Ana Grubor54c460$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6415536.8%57 W · 98 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Maya Joint53c439$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3611748.7%57 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Maya Joint47c438.29$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.492,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Maya Joint72c430.71$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.845545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Ana Grubor32c415.92$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.042,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Ana Grubor26c400$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059640.6%39 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Ana Grubor47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1887245.8%33 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9845…9d6fbacked Ana Grubor47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1886432.8%21 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Maya Joint49c400$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.822344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ana Grubor45c398.96$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.735,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Ana Grubor38c389.61$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x464f…01b7backed Ana Grubor52c384.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.993016.7%5 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Ana Grubor34c376$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0367239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Maya Joint51c369.35$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.351,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Ana Grubor47c350$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.311540%46 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a89…bb33backed Ana Grubor10c348.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.814926.5%13 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Ana Grubor45c341.49$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15242042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Maya Joint67c336.5$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.582,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Maya Joint42c334.32$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.441,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Maya Joint52c326.9$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4644349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Ana Grubor35c323$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0218648.4%90 W · 96 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ana Grubor24c307.75$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.434,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Maya Joint60c296.19$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.761,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.