TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann vs Bella Payne

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kennedy Drenser-Hagmannof Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann, Bella Payne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Bella Payne30c11,435$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,461.34,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bella Payne22c8,348$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.229,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann37c6,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.994,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Bella Payne39c4,516$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.6725843.8%113 W · 145 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Bella Payne48c2,245$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07072129.7%214 W · 507 L-41.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann59c1,430$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3621460.3%129 W · 85 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b6…5858backed Bella Payne15c1,066$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.223030.4%70 W · 160 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann53c916.76$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.722,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann71c856.18$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.793,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann66c764.48$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.945,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann44c699.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3929,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Bella Payne16c446.14$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.031,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann45c395.62$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.493740.5%15 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann59c324.57$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.166,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed Bella Payne31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16513438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Bella Payne35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Bella Payne63c281$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0318542.7%79 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1646453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf30…5c23backed Bella Payne37c241.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.988844.3%39 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann41c228.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.636,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Bella Payne65c191.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.632,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann69c191.08$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.792,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann69c181.84$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.951,17952.8%623 W · 556 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann68c154.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.141,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcfe2…697abacked Bella Payne37c153.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8312029.2%35 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.551,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann72c137.92$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6217972.6%130 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67c8…20a4backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann74c133.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.782462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Bella Payne67c132.07$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.022,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann32c132$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann72c126$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.912,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…0d78backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9810958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann71c108.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.218,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Bella Payne20c105.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9527724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann72c104.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51,07654.8%590 W · 486 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bella Payne24c100.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.312,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann46c99.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.396,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann51c97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061,87759.4%1,115 W · 762 L+8.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann42c95.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4539648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann33c95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6553343%229 W · 304 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Bella Payne14c80.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.025,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann68c74.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.061,84241%755 W · 1,087 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann42c74.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.444,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Bella Payne21c71.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561855.8%345 W · 273 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann43c69.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4717748%85 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Bella Payne17c61.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.444,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Bella Payne31c61.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.756,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bella Payne28c49.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.947,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a1…296fbacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann38c49.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.641553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Bella Payne26c47.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.095,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Bella Payne68c47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9145251.8%234 W · 218 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f95…bf8ebacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann45c44.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.377939.2%31 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann79c41.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.833,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann43c41.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.42,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac71…b3eabacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann44c40.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9115748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann70c40.34$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.143144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Bella Payne40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551636.2%187 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann37c35.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1858045.5%264 W · 316 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3589…35c0backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.724100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Bella Payne33c31.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.478248.3%378 W · 404 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Bella Payne34c30.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3447465.2%309 W · 165 L+28.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b92…a6e3backed Bella Payne39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Bella Payne70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120866.3%138 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann46c29.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1927139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann40c27.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann44c27.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4378957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann50c26.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2152552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e79…22e3backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4211756.4%66 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…1701backed Bella Payne68c24.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.949656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe520…e4e3backed Bella Payne61c24.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.945166.7%34 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann46c21.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7413435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7b…b79fbacked Bella Payne67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.49867.3%66 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Bella Payne68c19.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5455941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed5…3320backed Bella Payne57c19.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.223953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.