TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3589…35c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffsbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$6.08
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.91
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Abacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$7.25
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$6.75
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+45.4%+$7.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$14.97
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
BYU Cougars vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$11.26
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$6.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$52.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Alessandro Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$9.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.