TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
The Last Resortof MANA eSports, The Last Resort
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,073 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52b7…0aa1backed The Last Resort36c2,182$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.321,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked MANA eSports57c1,575$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.7584454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports68c1,435$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.036,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…927bbacked MANA eSports1c1,025$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+55%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed MANA eSports49c832.63$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.2280744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed The Last Resort73c731.94$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0113267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee1…fcc1backed The Last Resort47c731$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+75.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7429…7c3dbacked MANA eSports7c661.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda17…abc5backed MANA eSports65c517.83$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.719353.8%50 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5d…11d5backed The Last Resort16c499$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.142347.8%11 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick23cpaid+110.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked The Last Resort42c497$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.51,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1238…c94abacked The Last Resort47c493$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59f7…7621backed The Last Resort44c480$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c0…e106backed The Last Resort44c467$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed The Last Resort67c466.9$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15362350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9019…e84bbacked The Last Resort45c455$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked The Last Resort43c443.65$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8843640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed The Last Resort46c434.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.032250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad6…df20backed The Last Resort47c427$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa4…6b67backed The Last Resort47c421$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfe…6767backed The Last Resort47c417$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed The Last Resort24c399.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30476546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed MANA eSports26c390.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8692152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c26…eb5dbacked MANA eSports53c379$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa670…2d5cbacked MANA eSports56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef5…c8debacked MANA eSports53c352$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed The Last Resort13c305.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.318636%31 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4a…9893backed MANA eSports53c293$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports59c292.46$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.435,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked MANA eSports58c258.32$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.019457.4%54 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdb…320abacked MANA eSports56c258$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b8…51f9backed MANA eSports55c235$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c5…4b16backed MANA eSports53c222$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x530e…41bbbacked MANA eSports53c220$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2708…0cffbacked MANA eSports55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed The Last Resort64c215.17$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3513857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff48…15fdbacked MANA eSports53c213$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb411…249abacked MANA eSports56c209$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a3…4aa9backed MANA eSports53c205$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc827…c8b1backed MANA eSports53c204$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8938…2d07backed MANA eSports53c201$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…e51fbacked MANA eSports53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed MANA eSports55c197.11$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3787244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6b…a179backed The Last Resort27c190.81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.245349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MANA eSports78c181.86$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.012,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed MANA eSports57c172.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3661654.9%338 W · 278 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fd…d815backed MANA eSports19c163.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked MANA eSports55c140.91$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed MANA eSports10c133.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0609…5aacbacked MANA eSports57c122.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9910347.6%49 W · 54 L-11.7wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0000…e981backed MANA eSports56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf35c…906dbacked MANA eSports44c115.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.961533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3589…35c0backed MANA eSports10c112.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed The Last Resort35c112$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.839237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed The Last Resort25c103.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.381070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed The Last Resort42c101.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.294,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked The Last Resort42c98.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0370038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2254…bfe0backed The Last Resort54c98.27$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.273868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb6…ba42backed The Last Resort45c94.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.211770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d8…7520backed The Last Resort58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed The Last Resort25c85.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2135033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports72c72.19$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.227,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked MANA eSports56c70.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.551,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed The Last Resort46c64.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.943239.1%169 W · 263 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed MANA eSports56c57.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.448943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed The Last Resort46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3596743.5%421 W · 546 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e0…e850backed The Last Resort23c51.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.151741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb070…4761backed The Last Resort59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.853360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed MANA eSports41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.536845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75b…b4f5backed The Last Resort70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked The Last Resort42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2924633.3%82 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed The Last Resort30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3522938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked The Last Resort68c45.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.616732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed MANA eSports57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed The Last Resort60c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.194557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5de…88dabacked MANA eSports38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23650%18 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed MANA eSports41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.44847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7f…f922backed The Last Resort37c36.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.889946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed The Last Resort42c35.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.328045%36 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff95…3c1cbacked MANA eSports60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212931%9 W · 20 L-6.1wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-38.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed MANA eSports58c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.552755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MANA eSports52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x152b…9430backed MANA eSports57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked The Last Resort44c27.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.278150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked MANA eSports57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2522542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba39…006abacked The Last Resort64c24.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41b…1afcbacked The Last Resort48c21.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca4…1e11backed MANA eSports76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93b…9e73backed The Last Resort52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f2…2025backed MANA eSports80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MANA eSports55c19.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.682,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.