CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57cf994e1fb2715191c4d17872d7546eec33b8972b5119a2c685dc297743043e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, The Last Resort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,215 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed The Last Resort | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed MANA eSports | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked The Last Resort | 45c | 520$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…2b54backed MANA eSports | 54c | 520$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed MANA eSports | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed The Last Resort | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed The Last Resort | 5c | 288$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ac…ae05backed The Last Resort | 5c | 215.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked The Last Resort | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageThe Last Resort won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs The Last Resort - Map 2 WinnerThe Last Resort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.