Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3560afe26f03722ae4798f9a0612e4624663fd83d4c10a29e10d260ff1e4a70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 3,099$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 31c | 1,884$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.84 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 1,755$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.91 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 1,735$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.26 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 30c | 1,020$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.84 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 988.86$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.15 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 812.78$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.27 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 32c | 668.75$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.75 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 405.76$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.79 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 42c | 405.29$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.07 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 18c | 350.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 58c | 345.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 59c | 341.55$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 70c | 273$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 70c | 258.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 248.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.46 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 73c | 227.85$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 211.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 200.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 192.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 173.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 29c | 109.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Yes | 79c | 100.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 72c | 99.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 70c | 86.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed No | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 15c | 73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 70c | 71.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 67.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 31c | 64.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 64c | 59.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 68c | 58.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 31c | 53.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 69c | 50.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 48.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…36e0backed Yes | 79c | 46.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3589…35c0backed Yes | 72c | 41.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…aad5backed Yes | 29c | 40.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +190.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 66c | 39.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c0…e478backed No | 69c | 38.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 32c | 38.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked No | 66c | 33.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked No | 71c | 32.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 77c | 26.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 64c | 25.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…1821backed Yes | 47c | 23.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed No | 71c | 22.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Yes | 55c | 22.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 71c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…9b1bbacked Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-03?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.