Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1008df710c3991eb2052f3db1c0873bdc8e84d4bcbcacecb6caf78976c38ca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,002$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 16c | 1,205$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 12c | 1,041$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 26c | 527.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes | 17c | 310.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 264.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 166.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 151.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 142.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 142.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 70c | 108$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 25c | 106.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 95.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1846…6de1backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 39c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 57.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 30c | 57.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 51.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 26c | 39.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 41c | 32.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 40c | 29.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 77c | 24.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 71c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.