Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a861d11e484d48533a52190518324beb642fda3ac077638af587920ebbea996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 4,060$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.43 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 3,537$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 18c | 947.21$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.31 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 838.89$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 61c | 762.4$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.41 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 60c | 655.25$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.33 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 623.06$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.18 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 436.53$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 434.95$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 61c | 303.64$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 262.26$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 13c | 205$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 196.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 193.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 23c | 176.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 153.68$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 72c | 140.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 40c | 101.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca3…3ca5backed No | 75c | 100.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…c8b9backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146e…a5c7backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…26e4backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9a…1153backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…036ebacked No | 72c | 98.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 95.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked No | 60c | 83.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 82.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 41c | 66.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Yes | 36c | 65.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 70c | 48.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 70c | 48.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 71c | 46.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 71c | 46.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 71c | 46.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 71c | 46.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 66c | 44.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 59c | 42.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…6946backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 38c | 39.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Yes | 42c | 38.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 62c | 36.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 40c | 36.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 72c | 32.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Yes | 39c | 32.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…0504backed No | 60c | 30.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 69c | 30.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 60c | 29.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 40c | 29.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…e5e1backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…6353backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 62c | 23.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 65c | 21.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 16.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-03?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.