TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO5) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
QT DIG∞of REJECT, QT DIG∞
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,117 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0aa4…5dc8backed REJECT69c9,003$6,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,251.182564%16 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked QT DIG∞30c3,371$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.1328743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed REJECT70c3,213$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.4119860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb82…f6babacked QT DIG∞30c3,099$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.291741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed REJECT71c2,985$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.0493049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e38…2a58backed REJECT71c2,820$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.24273.8%31 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed QT DIG∞41c2,302$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.651,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed QT DIG∞29c1,670$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.3744342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed QT DIG∞44c1,520$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked QT DIG∞32c1,488$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.854348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed REJECT56c1,300$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.0646326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked QT DIG∞30c1,063$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.1184838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked REJECT50c1,039$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.113432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed QT DIG∞41c991.67$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.7674642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked QT DIG∞30c895$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.5228143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed QT DIG∞31c887.21$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.2223151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked QT DIG∞36c823.58$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.4370043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked REJECT69c814.97$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.336668.2%45 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9562…fbd4backed QT DIG∞57c773.44$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.494452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed QT DIG∞30c730.87$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.619644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed REJECT71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked QT DIG∞41c618.92$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.9577744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked QT DIG∞39c596.84$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.6357151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed QT DIG∞71c589.07$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9419648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked QT DIG∞42c570.56$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.221,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed QT DIG∞77c532.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.796462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed QT DIG∞27c532.31$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.321,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked QT DIG∞24c487.47$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.4725843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed QT DIG∞27c483.82$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.9527145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda17…4b77backed QT DIG∞35c457.06$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+156.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked QT DIG∞32c442.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.238243.9%36 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b4…826cbacked QT DIG∞22c414.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+360.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked REJECT70c399.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked REJECT49c399.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.999151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed QT DIG∞26c363.46$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.967855.1%43 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1245…e0afbacked REJECT39c358.73$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed QT DIG∞49c357.09$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7514254.9%78 W · 64 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed REJECT31c344.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.451833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed QT DIG∞30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed QT DIG∞26c322.31$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.516229%18 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed QT DIG∞30c306.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.673764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed QT DIG∞15c300$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25517853.9%96 W · 82 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed QT DIG∞30c299.14$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9813661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed REJECT71c282$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.225858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed REJECT78c270.8$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.865347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed QT DIG∞25c260.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4749255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2794…5835backed QT DIG∞17c253.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked QT DIG∞46c247.05$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked REJECT64c233.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016241.4%67 W · 95 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x619a…036abacked QT DIG∞66c219.79$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbafd…7475backed QT DIG∞30c218.6$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed REJECT25c211$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3810159.4%60 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked QT DIG∞21c209$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0313662.5%85 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed QT DIG∞22c205$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.99845.9%45 W · 53 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked REJECT75c197.81$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3612056.7%68 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da4…31bfbacked REJECT60c182.3$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.381136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked REJECT65c181.17$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3230835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3b9…2e59backed REJECT62c178.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed REJECT16c178.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5419240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed QT DIG∞11c174.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.924052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked QT DIG∞39c167.15$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.741,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a1d…3fa1backed REJECT60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked QT DIG∞14c157.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.334146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed REJECT72c154.62$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0823732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked QT DIG∞42c147.61$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed QT DIG∞14c146.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.391,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed QT DIG∞46c145.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3616144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c60…1129backed REJECT71c139.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.221163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked REJECT72c139.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked REJECT51c137.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.851,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f12…3f91backed REJECT37c134.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed REJECT68c133.51$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2931634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked QT DIG∞20c126.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.052853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked QT DIG∞27c120$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9435142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked QT DIG∞68c119.02$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.550944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fda…1407backed REJECT61c116.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.611346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1bf…b83cbacked QT DIG∞35c105.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.253748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed QT DIG∞30c101.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3215038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked REJECT63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7911149.5%55 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed QT DIG∞30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked QT DIG∞35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.538950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c33…38c9backed QT DIG∞17c99.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+492.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc4…21e3backed REJECT72c98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed QT DIG∞26c97.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.528241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked QT DIG∞29c96.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0524551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83dd…1517backed QT DIG∞65c95.22$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed REJECT30c88.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.859439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed QT DIG∞47c86.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3317557.1%100 W · 75 L+15.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3e6…8532backed REJECT26c85.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked QT DIG∞25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed REJECT57c78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7666438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed QT DIG∞23c77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.444042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d9…fa69backed QT DIG∞52c76.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.31471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x472b…5d5fbacked REJECT72c74.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e84…6624backed REJECT68c74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501492.9%13 W · 1 L+5.3wins+0.38per pick55cpaid+87.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked QT DIG∞19c72.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.978634.9%30 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed8…2c70backed REJECT70c65.56$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8413261.4%81 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked REJECT67c63.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4334954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked QT DIG∞24c63.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.213938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6908…d2f4backed QT DIG∞33c60.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.92832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.