TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
QT DIG∞of REJECT, QT DIG∞
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2775…3652backed REJECT23c3,335$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.6219648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed REJECT19c1,286$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.911833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked QT DIG∞76c1,129$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed QT DIG∞70c755$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.519546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed QT DIG∞59c614.87$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.111,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed REJECT12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603938.5%15 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked REJECT10c382.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.183432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked REJECT19c381.02$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.41,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked REJECT76c369.47$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9814653.4%78 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked REJECT60c349.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4919751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed REJECT25c298.14$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.169722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked REJECT10c282.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.211,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked QT DIG∞40c252.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.441,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe40a…76fabacked REJECT49c242.69$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.786352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked REJECT21c237.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.370043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a1d…3fa1backed QT DIG∞31c226.45$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked REJECT24c213.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8557151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked REJECT23c204.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2777744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa53a…473ebacked QT DIG∞27c200.38$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+86.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed REJECT15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked QT DIG∞45c199.44$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.199151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked QT DIG∞25c191.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.951,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed QT DIG∞35c182.63$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.491,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked QT DIG∞67c179.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.44146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa522…2c26backed REJECT55c163.2$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6668…9b4dbacked QT DIG∞40c139.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.512040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked REJECT60c136$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3828143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed QT DIG∞38c133.81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0431634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed REJECT28c102.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7946347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9454…9abcbacked REJECT50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed QT DIG∞50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018254.4%99 W · 83 L+22.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed REJECT72c98.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.336572.3%47 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed REJECT32c96.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.914454.2%78 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed QT DIG∞60c93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8499846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127d…4706backed QT DIG∞65c90.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.378100%8 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked QT DIG∞80c85.63$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.533441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a13…0512backed REJECT59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed QT DIG∞74c81.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.574642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked REJECT78c80$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.41,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed QT DIG∞25c79.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.471952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed REJECT56c75.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3865347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked QT DIG∞56c60.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.690733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed QT DIG∞41c58.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3166650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked QT DIG∞26c43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.664953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab4…99e3backed QT DIG∞56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc1bf…b83cbacked QT DIG∞67c34.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.193748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked REJECT60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1596245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed QT DIG∞65c15.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3921641.7%90 W · 126 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.