Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed384db2fe722a4fc5455656cadac306dc81a56bc35dcdc708bec8e174d13656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QT DIG∞of REJECT, QT DIG∞
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed REJECT | 61c | 1,554$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.21 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked QT DIG∞ | 38c | 1,040$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REJECT | 10c | 865.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked QT DIG∞ | 80c | 589.82$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked QT DIG∞ | 51c | 544.38$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.18 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked REJECT | 61c | 522.12$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.58 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REJECT | 29c | 401.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed REJECT | 16c | 309.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QT DIG∞ | 40c | 261.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed REJECT | 37c | 229.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked QT DIG∞ | 29c | 190.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed QT DIG∞ | 41c | 184.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed REJECT | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed QT DIG∞ | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed QT DIG∞ | 71c | 77.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked QT DIG∞ | 59c | 74.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked REJECT | 73c | 68.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed REJECT | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed QT DIG∞ | 59c | 65.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked QT DIG∞ | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…fa69backed QT DIG∞ | 51c | 47.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…4706backed QT DIG∞ | 71c | 42.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked QT DIG∞ | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked REJECT | 45c | 37.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked REJECT | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked REJECT | 37c | 29.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed QT DIG∞ | 53c | 22.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed REJECT | 69c | 21.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map Handicap: RC (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)QT DIG∞ won
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO5) - VCL Japan Season Finals PlayoffsQT DIG∞ won
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 1 WinnerREJECT won
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 2 WinnerQT DIG∞ won
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 3 WinnerREJECT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.