Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa92017f09bd526d967de78b46ee1c07177c04c3d63fa2c30250e0eac8803c40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REJECTof REJECT, QT DIG∞
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed QT DIG∞ | 30c | 2,709$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.61 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed REJECT | 69c | 2,482$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.52 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…5f8fbacked REJECT | 70c | 1,067$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QT DIG∞ | 33c | 740.96$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.42 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked QT DIG∞ | 3c | 561.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QT DIG∞ | 19c | 537.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed QT DIG∞ | 35c | 530.33$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked QT DIG∞ | 32c | 436.02$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.53 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed QT DIG∞ | 12c | 422.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked QT DIG∞ | 35c | 414.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed REJECT | 63c | 393.6$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.63 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed QT DIG∞ | 38c | 364.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 545 | 42.2%230 W · 315 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked QT DIG∞ | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed REJECT | 68c | 326.44$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked REJECT | 71c | 321.25$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed QT DIG∞ | 29c | 320.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked REJECT | 62c | 250.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.37 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed REJECT | 69c | 203.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked QT DIG∞ | 37c | 203.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REJECT | 67c | 142.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked QT DIG∞ | 29c | 125.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed REJECT | 66c | 121.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed QT DIG∞ | 37c | 106.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…6eebbacked REJECT | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked REJECT | 65c | 98.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed QT DIG∞ | 29c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked QT DIG∞ | 27c | 89.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 705 | 43.5%307 W · 398 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…fa69backed REJECT | 62c | 81.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed QT DIG∞ | 23c | 79.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked QT DIG∞ | 26c | 78.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x821b…8b2bbacked REJECT | 67c | 74.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked QT DIG∞ | 22c | 73.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fda…1407backed REJECT | 79c | 60.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked QT DIG∞ | 32c | 58.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed QT DIG∞ | 39c | 55.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked QT DIG∞ | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked REJECT | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed QT DIG∞ | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed QT DIG∞ | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed QT DIG∞ | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked REJECT | 74c | 37.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 575 | 50.6%291 W · 284 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked QT DIG∞ | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked REJECT | 70c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed QT DIG∞ | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed REJECT | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6744backed REJECT | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acacbacked REJECT | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map Handicap: RC (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)QT DIG∞ won
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO5) - VCL Japan Season Finals PlayoffsQT DIG∞ won
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 1 WinnerREJECT won
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 2 WinnerQT DIG∞ won
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 4 WinnerQT DIG∞ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.