Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ee71ab9c3ff99dce150bc74d42ad9d526b6bfd76b4b346e25e4bf0b454d3262
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REJECTof REJECT, QT DIG∞
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed REJECT | 78c | 819.16$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked QT DIG∞ | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked REJECT | 60c | 432$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QT DIG∞ | 27c | 408.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed QT DIG∞ | 17c | 389.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed QT DIG∞ | 20c | 341.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked QT DIG∞ | 24c | 300.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked REJECT | 64c | 283.44$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed QT DIG∞ | 21c | 238.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked QT DIG∞ | 34c | 233.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2c26backed REJECT | 52c | 198.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked REJECT | 72c | 195$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked QT DIG∞ | 27c | 172.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed QT DIG∞ | 8c | 162.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed REJECT | 60c | 155.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed REJECT | 77c | 148.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked REJECT | 69c | 145.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed QT DIG∞ | 49c | 140.39$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed REJECT | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed QT DIG∞ | 41c | 96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked REJECT | 64c | 92.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked QT DIG∞ | 17c | 89.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked QT DIG∞ | 49c | 87.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed QT DIG∞ | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked REJECT | 53c | 72.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed QT DIG∞ | 32c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed REJECT | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…76fabacked REJECT | 67c | 65.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked QT DIG∞ | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…221ebacked REJECT | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…fa69backed REJECT | 68c | 44.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…98bbbacked QT DIG∞ | 25c | 42.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed REJECT | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked REJECT | 51c | 37.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed QT DIG∞ | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked QT DIG∞ | 37c | 31.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed REJECT | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed QT DIG∞ | 47c | 27.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map Handicap: RC (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)QT DIG∞ won
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO5) - VCL Japan Season Finals PlayoffsQT DIG∞ won
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 2 WinnerQT DIG∞ won
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 3 WinnerREJECT won
- Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 4 WinnerQT DIG∞ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.