Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd372af63a0750eeb2024a07759c57698f189dc34a86578497c90392e3700a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Aurora | 54c | 27,364$14,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,653.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 40c | 22,839$9,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,209.86 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 1win | 43c | 11,268$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.77 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Aurora | 39c | 8,427$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.37 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed 1win | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.99 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 32c | 6,827$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.46 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 49c | 5,010$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.06 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 41c | 4,421$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.09 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 1win | 50c | 4,270$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.29 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 1win | 44c | 4,236$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.99 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Aurora | 79c | 4,024$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.55 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed 1win | 46c | 3,873$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.3 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 1win | 45c | 3,854$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.46 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed 1win | 72c | 3,539$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.67 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Aurora | 67c | 3,517$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.61 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Aurora | 62c | 2,872$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.16 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Aurora | 66c | 2,757$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.62 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 59c | 2,549$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.68 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…8cc6backed 1win | 75c | 2,456$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Aurora | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.19 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 22c | 1,863$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.62 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 49c | 1,839$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.84 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Aurora | 33c | 1,751$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.18 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed 1win | 65c | 1,728$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.29 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked 1win | 15c | 1,606$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.03 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed 1win | 40c | 1,594$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.29 | 317 | 36%114 W · 203 L | -18.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed 1win | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +127%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 80c | 1,499$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.89 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked 1win | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 1win | 15c | 1,134$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 51c | 1,081$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Aurora | 45c | 1,076$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.21 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed 1win | 18c | 1,056$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Aurora | 52c | 1,020$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.7 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 1win | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked 1win | 45c | 989.45$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.3 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed 1win | 8c | 960.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked 1win | 20c | 951.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.82 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed 1win | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked 1win | 16c | 890.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ca23backed 1win | 61c | 888.93$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked 1win | 61c | 875$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.75 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed 1win | 70c | 867.67$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 1win | 8c | 859.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 40c | 848.29$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.41 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed 1win | 47c | 817.18$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.53 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked 1win | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Aurora | 52c | 800$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Aurora | 41c | 790.68$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.09 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed 1win | 17c | 728.61$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Aurora | 56c | 697.63$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.68 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed 1win | 12c | 676.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed 1win | 72c | 636.78$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.91 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed 1win | 35c | 606.63$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.88 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked 1win | 45c | 603.68$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.53 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 1win | 20c | 555.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Aurora | 39c | 549.81$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.95 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Aurora | 66c | 527.19$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed 1win | 40c | 517.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Aurora | 52c | 506.72$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed 1win | 60c | 488$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed 1win | 61c | 480.76$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.26 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 11c | 480$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Aurora | 73c | 476.84$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86d…575fbacked 1win | 39c | 472.36$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed 1win | 63c | 465.63$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Aurora | 43c | 454.29$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Aurora | 50c | 438.38$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.69 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Aurora | 58c | 437.58$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.61 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed 1win | 32c | 434.15$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 1win | 9c | 429.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed 1win | 20c | 428.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed 1win | 47c | 416.53$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…523cbacked 1win | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Aurora | 63c | 399.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed 1win | 65c | 398.77$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed 1win | 17c | 391.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Aurora | 38c | 380.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.13 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed 1win | 49c | 378.77$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked 1win | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed 1win | 43c | 339.19$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Aurora | 55c | 337.13$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed 1win | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed 1win | 13c | 330$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Aurora | 29c | 324.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.13 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Aurora | 61c | 321.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 62c | 309.88$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed 1win | 23c | 305.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Aurora | 45c | 302.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.62 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Aurora | 68c | 300$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked 1win | 46c | 286$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…04aebacked Aurora | 69c | 285.52$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed 1win | 28c | 273.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 1win | 18c | 263.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…8917backed 1win | 19c | 260$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9c…c2c8backed 1win | 67c | 259.63$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed 1win | 53c | 252$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Aurora | 60c | 245.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed 1win | 17c | 244.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…ffc9backed 1win | 14c | 238.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.