Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84117f6f2d8f2f3b3556927641c934000ff84c899fda63c875569a5cbe754862
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,731 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 10,492$6,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 57c | 6,135$3,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.4 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 24c | 5,602$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.71 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,863$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 58c | 2,428$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.17 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…873cbacked No | 44c | 2,123$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 49c | 1,827$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.35 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,243$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.39 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 57c | 1,224$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 1,024$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.03 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Yes | 23c | 962.26$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.32 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 45c | 918.13$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.88 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 37c | 818$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.78 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 812.71$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.21 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 56c | 750.41$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.58 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 23c | 631.74$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 621.29$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.34 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 40c | 593.12$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.38 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 538.64$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.85 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 56c | 485$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 30c | 412.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed No | 23c | 368.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 58c | 349.23$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.43 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 78c | 299.81$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 46c | 292.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 233.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 43c | 232.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 36c | 190.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 190.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Yes | 40c | 176.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 15c | 169.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 53c | 151.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 141.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 57c | 141$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 56c | 120.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed No | 42c | 116.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Yes | 46c | 108.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 46c | 99.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 12c | 99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 53c | 98.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 53c | 85.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 53c | 83.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3589…35c0backed Yes | 78c | 81.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 81.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 43c | 75.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 42c | 71.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 67.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 63c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Yes | 41c | 60.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 59.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes | 41c | 57.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 23c | 55.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 54.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Yes | 34c | 50.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Yes | 23c | 46.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Yes | 23c | 45.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 79c | 43.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x763a…49a9backed Yes | 40c | 37.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…77b1backed No | 77c | 30.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Yes | 56c | 25.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 57c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Yes | 44c | 22.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.