Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6683de26cf6a161a918a88f7de33cb9b8b6585affefef438b8689dee0f789630
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,179 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 3,698$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 2,696$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.4 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 2,583$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.09 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 49c | 1,724$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.87 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 171.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 163.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 57c | 140.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 72c | 116$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 68c | 110.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Yes | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 108.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 78.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 75.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…293ebacked Yes | 78c | 74.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 24c | 74.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 74.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…af00backed Yes | 80c | 67.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 65.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 69c | 60.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed No | 46c | 60.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 56.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 47.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 28c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 34.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 28.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.