TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0852…655cbacked No38c8,476$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2447925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c7,507$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,391.65,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes59c6,153$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600.4175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Yes45c4,548$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.493545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes67c4,386$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.282339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No76c4,103$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.541,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c3,607$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.541,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No54c3,422$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.1230048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes58c3,280$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.872,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Yes43c2,605$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.836524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60034747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No58c2,250$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.4530847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed No45c2,099$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No41c2,021$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.3426835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes24c1,739$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.31,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes45c1,596$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.836735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes6c1,403$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6915625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes8c1,321$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4420036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes7c1,253$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1210446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes55c1,215$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.141,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c1,084$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.961,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No61c1,024$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.91,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.994443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No42c975.27$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.646449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes5c926.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.229920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed Yes57c882.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-53.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No70c868.46$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0216641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No62c844.97$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.0999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes53c691.86$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.692,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes55c627.27$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34513134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes8c625$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.787248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No53c600$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.196144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes64c576$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.6423733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No68c565.67$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5735046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No46c564$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5610667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c551.79$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.443,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No73c541.45$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.412740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No44c539.23$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.321,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No78c466.86$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2289846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked No45c460.04$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.641435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes48c451.93$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7412738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes34c440.67$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3410933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Yes57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No46c404.92$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.041,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26410364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes66c400$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.73756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked No76c396.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.495164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes25c380.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.231,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbfc…b095backed Yes25c376$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-76.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes44c352.18$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1621938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed No50c326.96$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.483571.4%25 W · 10 L+10.8wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+132.5%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes43c322.64$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2164633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes12c322.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9845746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Yes38c263.37$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.261330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No56c263.22$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No49c228.87$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4119953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No55c218.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.11,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x584a…8b8abacked No47c212.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.761643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa50e…29e6backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick47cpaid-64.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11215945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No47c198.67$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6414753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No66c198.31$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.779244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed No74c175.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.688858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed Yes59c168.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes25c164$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4149136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes61c156.46$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6950643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes60c155.46$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2811338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Yes68c147.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes25c135$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.751758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No42c125.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No43c124.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4315552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No71c122$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2544843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes26c116.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No68c110.48$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Yes53c107.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.781650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6324535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No44c98.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7869453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e2…38bdbacked Yes25c91.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf896…8704backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Yes55c76.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-65.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No46c76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf214…91e1backed Yes26c72.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202030%6 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28b…60c6backed Yes21c71.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.061145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No47c68.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6221538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes30c66.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206527.7%18 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed No75c66.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.247467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.91346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Yes28c50.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b30…c687backed No31c47.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.782520%5 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x713d…15d0backed No75c44.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.133100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes29c43.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5867548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.