TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes49c30,772$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0003644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e1…b7d4backed Yes0c11,845$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.841822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No51c8,560$4,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,194.263073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c7,589$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,660.11,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No52c6,886$3,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,321.31,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c3,471$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.125,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c3,327$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.473,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c2,959$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.561,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes18c2,950$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.287925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No56c2,655$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.0811855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes47c2,517$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.05812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-73.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No52c2,402$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.433,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes8c1,773$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0246449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No56c1,457$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.62,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No52c1,195$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.477060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No52c1,000$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48519447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes18c906.57$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.21,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c853.31$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.738,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No53c800.27$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.531,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Yes18c785$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.38343.4%36 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes48c704$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9238233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No51c696.42$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.2475240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc359…e8d9backed Yes48c678.13$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes11c669.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757814.1%11 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes3c600.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0110933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No52c535.5$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.041,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes13c523.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689714.4%14 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes17c425.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.42229.1%2 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-69.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes18c413.79$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4899259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No51c402$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.988551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No53c375$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2510158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No57c350.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.878660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes23c350.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.361,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed No57c346.7$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.082564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed No54c346.27$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.284100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes14c333.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6715625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes26c267.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8526835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed Yes48c248.85$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Yes41c243.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.251435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No53c237.11$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.444141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed No52c202.66$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.282755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.34847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes21c173.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7464633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c166$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.341,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…96f1backed No80c143.1$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes24c141.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7337540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No51c141.42$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.049551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No58c139.07$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5645746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No79c124.4$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1655250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes21c120.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8142946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes25c118$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa50e…29e6backed Yes46c108.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick47cpaid-64.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4b7…bc65backed No52c104.52$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.174100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes23c104.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No53c100.72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.345648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No53c97.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa4…2d5cbacked Yes47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked No54c93.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.221233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Yes43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc047…cce5backed Yes49c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes24c83.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.731,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes34c81.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.679244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4313850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Yes29c69.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.121540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes48c68.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3319543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes25c68.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173225%8 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed No61c62.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.521662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd082…29e4backed Yes21c60.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11747.1%8 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-37%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3650…3359backed Yes48c60.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No53c57.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9355946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No79c54.45$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6769453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed No51c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.974858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed Yes45c52.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No52c50.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1817067.6%115 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes32c49.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.82,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ba…9f0ebacked No56c45.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No73c42.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4713748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e65…cfb7backed Yes31c41.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed No59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.44443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed No53c39.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.534757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No52c36.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3216751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aae…7efcbacked Yes49c34.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade5…56b1backed No58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No69c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.941,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.423253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed No54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes47c26.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.792,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90bd…ea3ebacked No53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.618557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No78c17.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7226749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4db…e401backed No60c16.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-67.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.