TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc047…cce5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT5950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.51
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$42.33
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.94
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.81
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$64.26
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.75
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$57.01
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.76
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$162.15
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$134.17
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.02
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.42
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$160.7
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.69
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.37
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$50.02
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$103.55
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.87
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.77
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.9
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.56
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.33
UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Nurullo Aliev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$37.6
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Zaynukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$14.58
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.88
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$43.05
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.62
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$23.71
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.15
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.43
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Hyder Amil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.76
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$449.51
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.85
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60.86
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.19
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$70.3
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Iwo Baraniewski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Matt Schnell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Marcus McGhee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$3.99
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Édgar Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.4
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Priscila Cachoeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jordan Leavitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Luis Felipe Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$48.55
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-36.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$30.51
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+68%+$9.92
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.17
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.41
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$3.07
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$3.97
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$39.99
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$46.25
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+158%+$47.15
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$39.91
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.71
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.39
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$7.25
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Burruchaga (+1.5)backed Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.73
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$100.28
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$41.07
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$176.88
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.72
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$122.78
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$17.74
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.48
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.25
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.24
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.28
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.39
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.37
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.21
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$52.95
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.61
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.92
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$35.81
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$149.99
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$16.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.98
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.09
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.