Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Burruchaga (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4dfa26d21a7676d2b430d62b07d43c1a685f781d6bbac88de287e6bfa83292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Burruchaga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Burruchaga | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 6,065$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.11 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Burruchaga | 31c | 4,427$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.12 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.83 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Burruchaga | 44c | 3,150$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.5 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 1,614$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.5 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 1,514$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.1 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Burruchaga | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.65 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Burruchaga | 46c | 624.52$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 448.05$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.62 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Burruchaga | 43c | 397.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 360.6$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Burruchaga | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 226.56$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Burruchaga | 46c | 217.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 181.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 176.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…6ababacked Burruchaga | 45c | 87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Burruchaga | 42c | 71.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 71.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 67.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Burruchaga | 46c | 53.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…cce5backed Burruchaga | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 48.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Burruchaga | 45c | 33.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f3…becfbacked Burruchaga | 39c | 29.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc94…a3b6backed Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Burruchaga | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 23.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Burruchaga | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 18.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Burruchaga (+1.5)this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Burruchaga: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres BurruchagaFelix Auger-Aliassime won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs BurruchagaBurruchaga won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Burruchaga (+2.5)Burruchaga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.