Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Burruchaga
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb920c25035fc402695e0c66a83b817986ac9e7d95259a4b242a01a3a5953bd12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burruchagaof Auger-Aliassime, Burruchaga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 1,630$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.6 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Burruchaga | 38c | 954.52$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.8 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 229$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Burruchaga | 38c | 225$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Auger-Aliassime | 22c | 223.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Burruchaga | 43c | 214.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Burruchaga | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Burruchaga | 71c | 133.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f8…bf06backed Burruchaga | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Burruchaga | 38c | 102.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Burruchaga | 38c | 101$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Burruchaga | 57c | 73.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Burruchaga | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Burruchaga | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Burruchaga | 37c | 37.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Burruchaga | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Burruchagathis page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Burruchaga: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres BurruchagaFelix Auger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Burruchaga (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Burruchaga (+2.5)Burruchaga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.