TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34f8…bf06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst WNBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT5036%18 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.42
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.68
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$777.42
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.76
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keysbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.08
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+234.6%+$234.57
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$297.75
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$165.12
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$383.95
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$245.51
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.52
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$343.32
Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatekbacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.89
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+168.6%+$760.18
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.2
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$166.51
Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Berrettinibacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.47
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$109.3
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Burruchagabacked Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$43.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.