Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemot

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2854d2afda65b7269b566eaef034ff0334529d90b4d5387bfb60634aeda0b17

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Aryna Sabalenkaof Aryna Sabalenka, Elsa Jacquemot
Resolved: May 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $588,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $515,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,609 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2fa0…be6dbacked Elsa Jacquemot	6c	129,373$7,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,855.8	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed Elsa Jacquemot	5c	26,072$1,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,293.53	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Elsa Jacquemot	4c	18,816$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.3	2,174	36.9%802 W · 1,372 L	+39.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Elsa Jacquemot	3c	14,597$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.46	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Elsa Jacquemot	8c	12,310$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$981.45	450	36%162 W · 288 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	10,020$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.66	477	28.1%134 W · 343 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Elsa Jacquemot	2c	10,001$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.03	183	15.8%29 W · 154 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfb…84a6backed Elsa Jacquemot	10c	9,528$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.83	128	14.1%18 W · 110 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Elsa Jacquemot	9c	9,196$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.37	4,185	44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L	+14.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Elsa Jacquemot	2c	8,389$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.27	2,485	35.9%893 W · 1,592 L	-28.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fd…1250backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	8,089$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c4c…ca77backed Elsa Jacquemot	5c	7,565$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Elsa Jacquemot	1c	7,133$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.99	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	6,452$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.57	123	22%27 W · 96 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Elsa Jacquemot	9c	5,603$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.29	457	37.9%173 W · 284 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	5,425$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.9	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	10cpaid	+80.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3904…0cafbacked Elsa Jacquemot	6c	5,075$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Elsa Jacquemot	4c	4,866$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.05	115	38.3%44 W · 71 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Elsa Jacquemot	2c	4,812$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.68	217	42.9%93 W · 124 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe97e…0c3bbacked Elsa Jacquemot	5c	4,336$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Elsa Jacquemot	2c	4,166$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.82	327	32.1%105 W · 222 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07f4…07a1backed Elsa Jacquemot	8c	3,989$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Elsa Jacquemot	5c	3,128$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.38	1,421	28.6%407 W · 1,014 L	+4.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Elsa Jacquemot	4c	3,012$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.8	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	2,920$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.51	318	41.8%133 W · 185 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Elsa Jacquemot	1c	2,661$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	527	39.3%207 W · 320 L	+37.6wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Elsa Jacquemot	4c	2,550$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	2,472$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.73	372	30.4%113 W · 259 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	2,448$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.86	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+113.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Elsa Jacquemot	9c	2,429$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	246	31.3%77 W · 169 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a48…7bbebacked Elsa Jacquemot	5c	2,301$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.01	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Elsa Jacquemot	7c	2,270$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.1	2,281	52%1,187 W · 1,094 L	+82.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c87…98b1backed Elsa Jacquemot	1c	2,100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	226	2.2%5 W · 221 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcf…dc6ebacked Elsa Jacquemot	5c	2,085$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+35%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	231	59.3%137 W · 94 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Elsa Jacquemot	7c	1,667$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	228	21.1%48 W · 180 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe89a…928abacked Elsa Jacquemot	9c	1,436$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	36cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9901…e9b4backed Elsa Jacquemot	8c	1,221$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.1	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	1,200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	389	11.6%45 W · 344 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Elsa Jacquemot	7c	1,121$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.29	377	38.2%144 W · 233 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68ad…a26ebacked Elsa Jacquemot	3c	1,039$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Elsa Jacquemot	6c	1,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	721	32%231 W · 490 L	-17.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Elsa Jacquemot	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	64	0%0 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	856	34.2%293 W · 563 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e1…86b5backed Elsa Jacquemot	5c	1,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x672e…fa9abacked Elsa Jacquemot	3c	982.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd6…9011backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	955.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Elsa Jacquemot	4c	892.51$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.31	4,934	41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L	-77.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Elsa Jacquemot	15c	891.85$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.21	609	43.3%264 W · 345 L	-24.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a37…6c95backed Elsa Jacquemot	4c	868.95$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Elsa Jacquemot	5c	855$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	483	31.1%150 W · 333 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe635…b1a2backed Elsa Jacquemot	8c	840.72$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	132	40.9%54 W · 78 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Elsa Jacquemot	10c	775$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.4	248	44.8%111 W · 137 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	771.56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.69	856	24.4%209 W · 647 L	-9.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04b…6602backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	700$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34f8…bf06backed Elsa Jacquemot	7c	657.14$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	50	36%18 W · 32 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93d…5138backed Elsa Jacquemot	4c	599.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Elsa Jacquemot	4c	555.86$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.48	631	44.1%278 W · 353 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Elsa Jacquemot	5c	514.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	160	18.1%29 W · 131 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Elsa Jacquemot	6c	513.43$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,276	30.4%388 W · 888 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	5,261	28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L	-19.4wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Elsa Jacquemot	3c	500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	379	44.6%169 W · 210 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Elsa Jacquemot	4c	424.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	529	10%53 W · 476 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Elsa Jacquemot	10c	411.76$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	678	38.3%260 W · 418 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9173…a6a6backed Elsa Jacquemot	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+94.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ab…b20ebacked Elsa Jacquemot	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	134	40.3%54 W · 80 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Elsa Jacquemot	8c	387.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Elsa Jacquemot	3c	359.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b9…9b4abacked Elsa Jacquemot	4c	356.76$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Elsa Jacquemot	5c	336.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.26	93	4.3%4 W · 89 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Elsa Jacquemot	4c	334.34$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.24	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Elsa Jacquemot	10c	308.82$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	329	35%115 W · 214 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Elsa Jacquemot	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	268	33.6%90 W · 178 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc513…4e36backed Elsa Jacquemot	5c	280.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.20per pick	34cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10df…2206backed Elsa Jacquemot	5c	273.32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	108	25.9%28 W · 80 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…1accbacked Elsa Jacquemot	6c	246.49$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+7.1wins	+0.20per pick	34cpaid	+78.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Elsa Jacquemot	9c	213.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	133	60.9%81 W · 52 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Elsa Jacquemot	11c	206.31$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.33	1,566	40%627 W · 939 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Elsa Jacquemot	11c	183.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-11.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda3…bdbebacked Elsa Jacquemot	9c	173.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53d4…5e39backed Elsa Jacquemot	10c	148.07$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Elsa Jacquemot	13c	116.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	302	26.8%81 W · 221 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemotthis page
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elsa Jacquemot: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Sabalenka vs. Jacquemot: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs JacquemotSabalenka won
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Jacquemot (+1.5)Sabalenka won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemot

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event