UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb02a51e41ab62944b3a3a8e07cfefc4e36731645206606a3df80c9f64ad84143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valter Walkerof Thomas Petersen, Valter Walker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Thomas Petersen | 37c | 225,647$83,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,886.71 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Valter Walker | 62c | 84,356$52,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,055.21 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Valter Walker | 63c | 79,365$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,365.08 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Valter Walker | 71c | 65,635$46,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,194.65 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Thomas Petersen | 35c | 24,745$8,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,703.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Valter Walker | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Valter Walker | 63c | 9,524$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.81 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valter Walker | 65c | 8,310$5,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.67 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Valter Walker | 63c | 8,236$5,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.41 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…58f2backed Thomas Petersen | 1c | 7,667$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Thomas Petersen | 42c | 7,243$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.16 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thomas Petersen | 37c | 6,369$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.43 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thomas Petersen | 36c | 5,763$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.48 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Valter Walker | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Thomas Petersen | 33c | 5,000$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.97 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Thomas Petersen | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.96 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Thomas Petersen | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.96 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed Thomas Petersen | 35c | 3,535$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Valter Walker | 65c | 3,231$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…2f56backed Valter Walker | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Thomas Petersen | 35c | 3,100$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Thomas Petersen | 37c | 3,034$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.55 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Valter Walker | 64c | 2,828$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.84 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Valter Walker | 68c | 2,552$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.69 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Valter Walker | 63c | 2,448$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.94 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Thomas Petersen | 36c | 2,440$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.46 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Valter Walker | 67c | 2,402$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.75 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3c67backed Valter Walker | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Thomas Petersen | 38c | 2,368$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Valter Walker | 72c | 2,321$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.08 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Thomas Petersen | 11c | 2,300$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Valter Walker | 64c | 2,030$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.79 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Thomas Petersen | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…ad70backed Valter Walker | 65c | 1,961$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Valter Walker | 68c | 1,878$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.76 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Thomas Petersen | 37c | 1,806$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.15 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Valter Walker | 63c | 1,788$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Valter Walker | 65c | 1,693$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.57 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Valter Walker | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Valter Walker | 65c | 1,519$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.53 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Valter Walker | 58c | 1,457$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.19 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Valter Walker | 63c | 1,364$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Thomas Petersen | 34c | 1,323$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.67 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Thomas Petersen | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.99 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Valter Walker | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Valter Walker | 63c | 1,250$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.5 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0c26backed Valter Walker | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Valter Walker | 64c | 1,150$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Thomas Petersen | 23c | 1,116$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.61 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Thomas Petersen | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Thomas Petersen | 36c | 1,015$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.54 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Thomas Petersen | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Valter Walker | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Thomas Petersen | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Thomas Petersen | 29c | 1,000$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.25 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Valter Walker | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Thomas Petersen | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Valter Walker | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Thomas Petersen | 34c | 994.45$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Thomas Petersen | 36c | 981$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.16 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Thomas Petersen | 30c | 973.32$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Valter Walker | 63c | 953$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.61 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Valter Walker | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Valter Walker | 72c | 945.36$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.82 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked Valter Walker | 60c | 938.77$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.45 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Valter Walker | 69c | 913.22$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.27 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3365…022fbacked Valter Walker | 63c | 898.62$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Valter Walker | 67c | 878$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.51 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…2e27backed Valter Walker | 63c | 828$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…ae33backed Valter Walker | 63c | 817.14$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Valter Walker | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…ce4cbacked Valter Walker | 64c | 781.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…044fbacked Valter Walker | 63c | 763.13$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Valter Walker | 63c | 720$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Valter Walker | 66c | 675.78$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.96 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Thomas Petersen | 37c | 668.06$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.99 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thomas Petersen | 32c | 641.64$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Valter Walker | 68c | 631.29$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Valter Walker | 73c | 600$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…4ba6backed Valter Walker | 63c | 571.76$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Valter Walker | 61c | 527.21$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…5648backed Valter Walker | 63c | 511.32$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thomas Petersen | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Thomas Petersen | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Thomas Petersen | 41c | 500$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Valter Walker | 63c | 490$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Thomas Petersen | 36c | 480.37$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Valter Walker | 57c | 480$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.68 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…05e5backed Valter Walker | 64c | 471.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Valter Walker | 70c | 428$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Valter Walker | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Valter Walker | 63c | 392.82$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.22 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fa…e5d6backed Thomas Petersen | 30c | 390$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Valter Walker | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…b591backed Thomas Petersen | 38c | 379.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Valter Walker | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…b2d2backed Valter Walker | 68c | 340.76$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Thomas Petersen | 37c | 327.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Thomas Petersen | 37c | 324$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Thomas Petersen | 38c | 321.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Valter Walker win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.