South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5ffe53567e91d0364191901d3326821037bf187ab9b002abf8b385e21ae643c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 18,632$4,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329.33 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 16,225$12,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed No | 70c | 7,159$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.28 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 4,927$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 66c | 3,422$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.48 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 31c | 3,251$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 34c | 3,092$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.39 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 37c | 1,656$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 1,263$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.13 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 41c | 1,221$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 1,160$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.63 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 1,100$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Yes | 1c | 999.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 27c | 765.61$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.32 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 79c | 725.05$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 572.48$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 12c | 566$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 6c | 565.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 509.88$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.05 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 74c | 493.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 68c | 477.09$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 30c | 413.77$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…4723backed Yes | 38c | 401.3$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 392.54$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 41c | 382.75$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed Yes | 30c | 359.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 60c | 336.13$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 39c | 297.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 34c | 273.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 35c | 264.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 246.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 24c | 213.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 60c | 186.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 59c | 180$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 56c | 178$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 59c | 177$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 27c | 170.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 78c | 125.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 124.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 74c | 124.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked No | 30c | 118.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 28c | 108.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 60c | 93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed No | 66c | 72.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 65.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 56.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 70c | 51.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1d97backed Yes | 47c | 42.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 28c | 35.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 34c | 31.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…2c2cbacked Yes | 36c | 28.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 25.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…85adbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 21.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…cce5backed No | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 59c | 17.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?No won
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.