TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6a5…4723

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 51 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Gabi Boitanbacked Lui Maxted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$79.41
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.89
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Patricia Georgiana Goina vs Marie Mettrauxbacked Marie Mettraux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$78.43
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Anna Frey vs Maria Aran Teixido Garciabacked Anna Frey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Clervie Ngounoue vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Clervie Ngounoue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Zug: Max Hans Rehberg vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$162.05
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$49.62
Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigurbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.09
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
ITF Ollersbach: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Tommaso Compagnuccibacked Tommaso Compagnucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.51
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Troyes: Luca Staeheli vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63%+$94.65
ITF Wuning: Yuta Tomida vs Xing Dao Chenbacked Yuta Tomida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$54.74
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.12
Brasov: Lautaro Midon vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brasov: Andrej Nedic vs Franco Roncadellibacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$135.18
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.57
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halysbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.72
Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$43.77
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$260.64
Brasov: Lautaro Midon vs Stefan Haitabacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$156.76
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milicbacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$349
ITF Maanshan: Junhan Zhang vs Anna Snigirevabacked Anna Snigireva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$142.31
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SF (-2.5)backed LAC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.