WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b4de57da7b89ba2502e3a16ff88b0a20e30b3c33d849737a428447fa3c68986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 5,000$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.81 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 3,114$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.88 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 2,938$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.73 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Connecticut Sun | 54c | 1,506$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 1,250$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.33 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 1,210$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.16 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Connecticut Sun | 33c | 999$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.67 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 906.02$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.31 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 842.67$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.63 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Connecticut Sun | 43c | 800.54$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.7 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 679.62$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.61 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 672.56$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.91 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 667.96$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 657.73$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…99a6backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 591.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.47 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 490$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.28 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 464.28$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Connecticut Sun | 42c | 406.1$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 384.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.24 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Connecticut Sun | 59c | 320.25$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Connecticut Sun | 71c | 313.92$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Connecticut Sun | 72c | 288.53$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 264$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…4723backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 227.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 227.15$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 204.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.51 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 193.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 191.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 180.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 150.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 126.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun | 57c | 121.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Las Vegas Aces | 26c | 113.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 94.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 90.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 84.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Las Vegas Aces | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff4…93e2backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 77.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Connecticut Sun | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Connecticut Sun | 29c | 67.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 62.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 60.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 58.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 53.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…c06dbacked Connecticut Sun | 55c | 52.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 34c | 49.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d6…a82cbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 42.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 38c | 41.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b16…50e4backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 41.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 31.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 29.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…a648backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 28.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…f3eabacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 21.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Connecticut Sun | 57c | 17.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 164.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 166.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 168.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.