WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e4092b5ef90f2b4c4abaa204c8c5ecd5c5a2bc038a81308eae89e45269fabd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Connecticut Sun, Las Vegas Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 21,327$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.58 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 13,279$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Connecticut Sun | 10c | 4,540$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…8c73backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 4,186$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 3,468$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.3 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 2,767$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 2,532$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.81 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked Connecticut Sun | 8c | 2,448$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Connecticut Sun | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Connecticut Sun | 11c | 1,892$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb63…b3debacked Connecticut Sun | 9c | 1,880$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.22 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…a9a8backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 1,567$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Connecticut Sun | 2c | 1,550$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Connecticut Sun | 9c | 1,510$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Connecticut Sun | 10c | 1,455$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 1,254$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 1,237$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.37 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Connecticut Sun | 19c | 1,140$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.32 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 1,130$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Connecticut Sun | 10c | 1,018$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Connecticut Sun | 15c | 898.18$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Connecticut Sun | 16c | 811.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 730.3$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 633.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Connecticut Sun | 3c | 590.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 539.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Connecticut Sun | 12c | 502.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6066…e2b2backed Connecticut Sun | 8c | 485.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 448.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Connecticut Sun | 10c | 440.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Connecticut Sun | 16c | 426.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 410.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Connecticut Sun | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 352.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 300.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 290.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…88ecbacked Connecticut Sun | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Connecticut Sun | 10c | 275.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 259.52$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Connecticut Sun | 9c | 254.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Connecticut Sun | 9c | 249.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 244.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4288…bf2ebacked Connecticut Sun | 13c | 227.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 219.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 218.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Connecticut Sun | 20c | 200.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…6686backed Connecticut Sun | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Connecticut Sun | 12c | 167.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…f8c9backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…100bbacked Connecticut Sun | 8c | 154.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 145.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Connecticut Sun | 22c | 139.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 129.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 110.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 99.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Connecticut Sun | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Connecticut Sun | 13c | 80.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…fdbfbacked Connecticut Sun | 15c | 68.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 66.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 66.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Acesthis page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 164.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 166.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 168.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.