WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2a93960858abf9bfe60c8b3feb17da64de20f84f6b5b7ed4647dc02e871ce5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 7,178$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.73 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 5,177$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.22 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 4,345$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.69 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 2,300$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 1,603$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.94 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 1,505$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.46 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 1,390$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.49 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 1,303$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.11 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 1,057$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.86 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Las Vegas Aces | 36c | 541.61$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 478.84$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Connecticut Sun | 69c | 422.04$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Connecticut Sun | 70c | 416.23$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…cc1ebacked Connecticut Sun | 34c | 369.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…2fa5backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 361.34$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 60c | 336.05$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Connecticut Sun | 59c | 311.86$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…c06dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 31c | 289.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Connecticut Sun | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Connecticut Sun | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 173.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 162.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Las Vegas Aces | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 160.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 150.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Connecticut Sun | 71c | 132.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 113.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 100.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 77.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Connecticut Sun | 57c | 58.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 55.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Connecticut Sun | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 35c | 49.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 49.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 41.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 39.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Las Vegas Aces | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 35.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 28.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 25.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Las Vegas Aces | 61c | 21.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…9029backed Connecticut Sun | 72c | 18.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 164.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 166.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 168.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.