WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1234cb3694c18750de978abce75c0c22104caea3616d74e29feab831e96466c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 13,444$7,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,229.44 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 48c | 6,902$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 6,017$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.39 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 4,877$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.92 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 23c | 4,396$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.64 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 46c | 4,014$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.47 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 3,444$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.22 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 2,016$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.14 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 52c | 2,009$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.68 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 58c | 1,629$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.84 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 52c | 1,394$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.9 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 970.56$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.1 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 708.45$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.65 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 3c | 532$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…1b12backed Under | 21c | 365.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Over | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 293$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 275.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 5c | 205.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 328 | 49.4%162 W · 166 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…985fbacked Under | 56c | 177.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 52c | 153$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +129.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Over | 71c | 132.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under | 51c | 125.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 123.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Under | 54c | 112.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Under | 54c | 111.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 19c | 105.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 54c | 102.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 95.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 46c | 87.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 73.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 44c | 64.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Over | 46c | 63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 58c | 61.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 369 | 50.9%188 W · 181 L | +16.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 49.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Over | 46c | 32.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 39c | 30.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 69c | 22.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 54c | 21.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 242 | 55.4%134 W · 108 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Over | 73c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 63c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 164.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 166.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.