WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b3a68c507279c22f1639c0fa8e3b7184e03d4ea885b552f380acf9e679e2df9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.97 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 48c | 5,874$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.7 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 4,194$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.32 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 48c | 3,780$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.59 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over | 53c | 2,765$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.65 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.16 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 1,521$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.95 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 45c | 1,450$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Under | 46c | 1,427$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 1,202$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 943.91$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.39 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 55c | 920$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 47c | 755.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 5c | 633$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…8896backed Under | 48c | 410.14$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…d8fcbacked Under | 48c | 408.16$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…88ecbacked Over | 80c | 405.72$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 398.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.31 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 310.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9064…170dbacked Over | 53c | 288$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 50c | 188.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 48c | 188$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Under | 49c | 180.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Under | 48c | 177.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 47c | 177$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 51c | 168$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 158.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 53c | 150.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 107.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…d13ebacked Over | 54c | 102.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 47c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 35c | 90.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 52c | 80.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 72.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199c…2515backed Over | 56c | 71.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 71.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 44c | 69.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 46c | 65.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Under | 49c | 56.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 50.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Under | 49c | 43.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 60c | 41.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…82e6backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 48c | 37.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…230cbacked Under | 47c | 34.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 49c | 33.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…96a0backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 29.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 74c | 25.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 25.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 54c | 21.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Over | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 164.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 166.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 168.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.