WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79146c39eed22781b451fb0c7c60bd2e7427def3e5af01d2b2f96ffa488fe34a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 2,199$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.25 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 51c | 1,845$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.05 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 35c | 1,545$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.82 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 1,378$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.76 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 1,246$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.18 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 54c | 1,109$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.34 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 50c | 1,026$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.82 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 7c | 822$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 562.12$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.82 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 18c | 526.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 45c | 414.4$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 45c | 413.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…df7fbacked Over | 52c | 375$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 55c | 370$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 155.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 55c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 85.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…4fdbbacked Over | 51c | 77.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 19c | 63.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 62.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 58.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 39.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 52c | 31.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 48c | 29.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 55c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 164.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 166.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 168.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.