Tennis · resolved market
Troyes: Luca Staeheli vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16d8ae6bea21f25557893389b4f1be7cc21c95a0e81646db9069187468d588fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Igor Ribeiro Marcondesof Luca Staeheli, Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4748…9666backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 56c | 989.17$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.17 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luca Staeheli | 42c | 612.6$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.08 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luca Staeheli | 41c | 475.59$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Luca Staeheli | 41c | 425$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.25 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6054backed Luca Staeheli | 21c | 410$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 57c | 349.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Luca Staeheli | 43c | 313.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luca Staeheli | 21c | 299.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…1475backed Luca Staeheli | 24c | 257.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 57c | 252.63$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…4723backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 61c | 245$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Luca Staeheli | 27c | 237.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Luca Staeheli | 15c | 224.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Luca Staeheli | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luca Staeheli | 36c | 198.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Luca Staeheli | 38c | 177.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luca Staeheli | 49c | 164.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 62c | 163.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Luca Staeheli | 39c | 154.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Luca Staeheli | 37c | 105.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luca Staeheli | 39c | 88.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 63c | 84.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 59c | 80.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Luca Staeheli | 41c | 75.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Luca Staeheli | 37c | 70.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Luca Staeheli | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 63c | 56.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Luca Staeheli | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 60c | 49.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…5cd6backed Luca Staeheli | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 61c | 45.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Luca Staeheli | 46c | 43.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Luca Staeheli | 41c | 37.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 68c | 36.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Luca Staeheli | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 69c | 34.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…9538backed Luca Staeheli | 45c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Luca Staeheli | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8141…0b4ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 62c | 16.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troyes: Luca Staeheli vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Staeheli vs MarcondesMarcondes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.