TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,344
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,344 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc72d…fc21backed No67c21,825$14,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,202.244062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed No67c19,999$13,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c13,524$4,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,448.633,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No68c8,760$5,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.1473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No68c7,500$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40010945%49 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes33c7,311$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.5233346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes33c6,961$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.0753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c6,761$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.941,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes18c4,329$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.7898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Yes33c4,076$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2808845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes32c3,659$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.865743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes33c2,200$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.1210338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes33c2,144$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.5232848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes33c1,545$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes18c1,331$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.249726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes32c1,259$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes33c1,061$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes33c879.36$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1912650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked No68c878.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.092065%13 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes32c635.91$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.499854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes33c537.11$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.257757.1%44 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-7.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes33c424.24$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No68c367.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.643174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes32c362.31$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9414652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes33c338$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5435550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…4723backed Yes35c309.63$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes32c304.81$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5470249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes33c299.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5911848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes16c294.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6911633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes32c270$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.46346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked No68c265$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8026450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No76c196.94$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6599340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No72c187.89$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.51,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes33c187.6$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9112356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Yes27c186.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.19812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-81.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes33c163.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.078454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes33c163.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.914957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes32c157.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.511,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…7b1abacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Yes33c150.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.631338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed No68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No78c149.11$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1668150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed No67c149$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.17977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+43.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes35c144.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes7c142.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105850%29 W · 29 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+73.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes33c142.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5619642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes33c141.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.838129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes33c140.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.381442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No79c140.43$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.493953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes32c140$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes32c138$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1652923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c136.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.214349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes10c116$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1636646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8921backed Yes32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Yes35c100.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes33c97.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes33c91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.031421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed No68c87.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.812360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed No68c85.71$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.432860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes33c85.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.247147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes27c85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Yes33c82.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.081717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Yes33c78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.745954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No68c71.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.865068%34 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed No68c71.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.853262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe08d…7b1bbacked No68c70.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.74634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes23c62.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3511046.4%51 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf859…d068backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985b…2c2fbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c60.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Yes33c60.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes32c56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9237649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed No68c55.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8710753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed No68c54.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.373557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Yes33c48.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed No68c46.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.751963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbed…60b9backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed Yes33c41.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No67c41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.533268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed No79c38.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.052979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed No68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.762347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Yes33c33.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0511650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed No67c33.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.962770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+71.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x395e…cba5backed Yes32c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.