TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will San Diego FC win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed No40c12,029$4,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,864.5599340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes54c6,575$3,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,993.3398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes60c4,458$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.769726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c4,147$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.33,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06a…d284backed Yes46c3,646$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked No52c3,356$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No51c3,315$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.627058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No53c2,821$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.4668150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked No55c2,156$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.89911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick51cpaid-75.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No44c2,132$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.0111633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Yes47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No50c1,992$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.9822841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes51c1,965$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.992040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes79c1,659$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.161040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Yes47c1,450$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+94.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No11c1,392$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4910840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No22c1,136$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No23c1,042$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.461526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed No59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4133735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No53c599.99$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.391816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-60.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes75c577.33$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.876341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Yes47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No21c529.24$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4213228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes41c499.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9914652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes50c459.52$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8335247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc508…f6b5backed Yes77c448.44$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No23c439.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7380249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed No53c399.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No15c394.46$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.599540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No27c376.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.166636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No58c331.29$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1512951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c313.22$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.541,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes64c305.65$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8236646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed No59c301.81$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Yes48c281.52$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.391910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-77.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No24c261.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.542669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed No59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed No52c251.67$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.024344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No50c245$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.478344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes47c242.32$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.417757.1%44 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes47c236$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0818456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No59c234.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No56c231$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.364254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c214.44$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4254949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes47c212.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No29c211.26$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.279437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No16c209.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.041,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes50c199.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3744447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1defbacked Yes43c197.05$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.321154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes70c195.11$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.034566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes42c190.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.48911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-73.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes43c186.37$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2353040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No12c179.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.281,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed No54c168.87$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.191361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes47c165.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6112058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.796055%33 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No52c162.73$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.912551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No25c147.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4830735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No12c143$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2330444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes42c142.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.31650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes47c129.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4612356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes51c127.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.459250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x007d…06f0backed Yes48c117.88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+189.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes42c115.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1412650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No28c114.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7516159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes74c113.93$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6513952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed No50c106$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes41c99.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.997634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No20c95.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1615638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No45c90.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5445140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes55c90.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3431446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked No50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes74c89.16$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0416657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x332f…80a4backed No53c89.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Yes45c86.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+119.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes69c86.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8319960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No19c86.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.316453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes41c83.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes47c77.45$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes47c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.59747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked No30c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked No27c72.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205850%29 W · 29 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+73.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes41c67.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes73c66.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.839357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed No60c66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked No17c63.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.634531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d00…6e8ebacked Yes59c61.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8216744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Yes46c52.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked No56c52.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.471637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes44c52.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.276246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Yes48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c51.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3780358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0363…d67abacked Yes48c51.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.69540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes44c51.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6210753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed No59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.