Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Yuta Tomida vs Xing Dao Chen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x670f7cc591cfa3dec2eb54dbfd059b4f49904ca40c88acb1a9108fc497fae012
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuta Tomidaof Yuta Tomida, Xing Dao Chen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7547…d158backed Xing Dao Chen | 35c | 599.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…6516backed Yuta Tomida | 65c | 461.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuta Tomida | 67c | 413.34$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Xing Dao Chen | 34c | 282.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Xing Dao Chen | 32c | 225.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…4723backed Yuta Tomida | 73c | 204.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yuta Tomida | 64c | 159.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yuta Tomida | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Yuta Tomida | 67c | 139.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Xing Dao Chen | 33c | 95.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Yuta Tomida | 68c | 77.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Xing Dao Chen | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xing Dao Chen | 33c | 57.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Yuta Tomida | 66c | 52.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Xing Dao Chen | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Xing Dao Chen | 33c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Yuta Tomida | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Xing Dao Chen | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Xing Dao Chen | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yuta Tomida | 68c | 23.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Yuta Tomida | 65c | 16.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.