Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Clervie Ngounoue vs Varvara Lepchenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d69d580e88d013aba42dd6abcdc82e4df499a5a2c5c046f4767144527aaec44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Varvara Lepchenkoof Clervie Ngounoue, Varvara Lepchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 7,764$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.21 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…e829backed Clervie Ngounoue | 49c | 6,788$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Clervie Ngounoue | 48c | 6,429$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.82 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Clervie Ngounoue | 45c | 5,931$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.84 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Varvara Lepchenko | 47c | 5,530$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.76 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Varvara Lepchenko | 52c | 4,005$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Clervie Ngounoue | 47c | 3,329$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.7 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 48c | 3,274$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.59 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Clervie Ngounoue | 52c | 2,540$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.19 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Varvara Lepchenko | 53c | 2,375$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.04 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Varvara Lepchenko | 47c | 2,111$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.54 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 52c | 1,904$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.6 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 60c | 1,817$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.34 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Varvara Lepchenko | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.4 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Clervie Ngounoue | 41c | 1,362$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.88 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 3c | 1,250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 3c | 1,250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Varvara Lepchenko | 57c | 1,179$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Clervie Ngounoue | 47c | 1,156$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.14 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Varvara Lepchenko | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…960fbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 77c | 1,080$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed Clervie Ngounoue | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Clervie Ngounoue | 42c | 999.96$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.81 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Varvara Lepchenko | 57c | 861.73$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.81 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Varvara Lepchenko | 62c | 814.07$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.42 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 79c | 805.63$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Varvara Lepchenko | 47c | 672.34$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.34 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Clervie Ngounoue | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Varvara Lepchenko | 50c | 537.89$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.53 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 74c | 510$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Varvara Lepchenko | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fe…df2fbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 50c | 495$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Varvara Lepchenko | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Clervie Ngounoue | 49c | 475.51$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Clervie Ngounoue | 49c | 462.19$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…a939backed Clervie Ngounoue | 45c | 444.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.24 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…16cabacked Varvara Lepchenko | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Clervie Ngounoue | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Clervie Ngounoue | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Clervie Ngounoue | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Clervie Ngounoue | 28c | 393.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Varvara Lepchenko | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Clervie Ngounoue | 49c | 383.64$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Varvara Lepchenko | 52c | 361.71$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 347.59$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.52 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 63c | 317.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 63c | 313$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…f061backed Varvara Lepchenko | 56c | 311.45$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7f…cdffbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Clervie Ngounoue | 44c | 257.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Clervie Ngounoue | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Varvara Lepchenko | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Varvara Lepchenko | 64c | 234$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Clervie Ngounoue | 47c | 227.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…7eccbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 46c | 217.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…db21backed Clervie Ngounoue | 52c | 214.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Varvara Lepchenko | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 28c | 209.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Clervie Ngounoue | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…eed3backed Clervie Ngounoue | 33c | 202.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Clervie Ngounoue | 25c | 201.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Varvara Lepchenko | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Varvara Lepchenko | 47c | 184.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Clervie Ngounoue | 41c | 181.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Clervie Ngounoue | 42c | 166$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Clervie Ngounoue | 47c | 162.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 73c | 160.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Clervie Ngounoue | 23c | 156.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Clervie Ngounoue | 47c | 149.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8611…2c36backed Varvara Lepchenko | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Varvara Lepchenko | 58c | 146$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…ec00backed Varvara Lepchenko | 62c | 130.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Varvara Lepchenko | 58c | 117.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Varvara Lepchenko | 53c | 108.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Clervie Ngounoue | 47c | 104.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 100.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Varvara Lepchenko | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Clervie Ngounoue | 42c | 99.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed Clervie Ngounoue | 42c | 98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 44c | 97.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Clervie Ngounoue | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 37c | 96.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 42c | 89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Varvara Lepchenko | 47c | 88.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Varvara Lepchenko | 62c | 87.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Clervie Ngounoue | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Varvara Lepchenko | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Clervie Ngounoue | 40c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Varvara Lepchenko | 57c | 82.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Varvara Lepchenko | 66c | 82.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 330 | 62.7%207 W · 123 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Varvara Lepchenko | 54c | 81.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Varvara Lepchenko | 74c | 80.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 205 | 63.4%130 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed Varvara Lepchenko | 52c | 74.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Varvara Lepchenko | 75c | 72.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Clervie Ngounoue vs Varvara Lepchenkothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ngounoue vs LepchenkoLepchenko won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.